The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2013/14: Round 34

Can Chris Hughton's Norwich deliver another big scoreline?
Can Chris Hughton's Norwich deliver another big scoreline?

The Editors' Betting Battle took another twist last weekend when Joe Dyer's selection lost, and his two closest rivals, Mike Norman and Dan Thomas, both recorded vital wins. Just over £12 separates the top three and it's all to play for as we enter round 34...

"Fulham are 1.192/11 to be relegated and, though I risk stating the obvious, must win this and probably five of their last six if they are to escape the drop. But they haven't shown many signs of winning recently and provided Villa are motivated they should have enough to get past the Cottagers."


Joe Dyer
Back Aston Villa @ 1.9720/21 to beat Fulham 
Saturday, 15:00

I made the mistake of backing an unreliable Premier League outfit last week (Sunderland since you ask) and I fear I may be doing so again by plumping for Aston Villa in round 34 of the battle.

Just five home wins from 16 Premier League games does not set a particularly inspiring standard, but at nearly even money to beat a woefully out-of-sorts Fulham at Villa Park I have to get them onside this week.

Yes, Paul Lambert's side have been pumped 4-1 in their last two games but they were good enough to beat Chelsea and Norwich by a combined scoreline of 5-1 in successive home matches before those recent reverses and they should get the better of Felix Magath's struggling side. 

Villa took the lead at Old Trafford last weekend, had plenty of chances (most of which Christan Benteke missed) and really should have made it closer than the bare result suggested. 

Fulham are 1.192/11 to be relegated and, though I risk stating the obvious, must win this and probably five of their last six if they are to escape the drop. But they haven't shown many signs of winning recently and provided Villa are motivated they should have enough to get past the Cottagers. 

Joe Dyer 2013-14 P/L: + £12.00


Mike Norman
Back Cardiff @ 2.47/5 to beat Crystal Palace
Saturday, 15:00

Cardiff have scored six goals in their last two home games, which is the exact same total as Crystal Palace have scored away from home all season - 15 league games to be precise.

The Eagles have been brilliant since Tony Pulis took over but it's their home form that has given them more than a fighting chance of survival; away from home they haven't recorded a win in 2014 and they've managed just a single goal scored in their last six road trips.

The Bluebirds are fighting for their lives and 10 goals scored in their last four outings suggests that they are giving it a real go. True, they need to tighten up defensively, but if they can continue their recent goalscoring form then I fancy them to beat Palace on Saturday afternoon.

Mike Norman 2013-14 P/L: + £2.80


Dan Thomas
Back Manchester United to beat Newcastle at 2.021/1
Saturday, 15:00

It has been a Premier League season to forget for Manchester United, with Opta telling us that the champions are now guaranteed to finish with a lower total than in any of Sir Alex Ferguson's 21 campaigns.

It is United's dreadful home form that has been the major factor behind this as they actually have the best away record in the Premier League - with 30 points from a possible 48 - and I fully expect them to make that 33 from 51 on Saturday afternoon against struggling Newcastle.

Alan Pardew's men, who have failed to score in 10 of their last 14 league games, come into the game on the back of two heavy defeats against Southampton and Everton during which they barely laid a finger on the opposition and it is hard to see them get anything out of United.

The one glimmer for Newcastle - possibly reflected in the generous price for Man Utd - is that the visitors may be tired after an energy sapping game against Bayern Munich in midweek, but David Moyes will be able to freshen the team up with the likes of Juan Mata and Darren Fletcher and I don't see it being a factor.

Dan Thomas 2013-14 P/L: - £0.21


Luke Moore
Back Any Unquoted in Norwich v West Brom at 14.5
Saturday, 15:00

Let's be honest, that first goal aside, Aston Villa never came close to doing the business for me last weekend. I thought there was a glimmer, for reasons stated but United did a very professional job and although I didn't think they were at their best, they didn't really need to be.

I feel like I need to go big again to try and get myself back in touch with the other editors and an Any Unquoted can be a good bet because it covers such a wide range of scores. All essentially you're doing is backing one of the two teams playing to score four, which we've seen happen many, many times in this year's Premier League and will probably start to occur more as teams get more desperate for points. 

14.5 for it to happen in this game is a big price when compared to some of the other games across the weekend; we've seen it twice in the last month involving Norwich, first against Aston Villa (4-1) and then against Southampton (4-2). West Brom were themselves involved in a barn-burner last time out against Cardiff which eventually finished 3-3 and so I'll happily take this at a big price.

It's a bit of a punt, but we're getting into silly season now and I'm delighted to be the silliest of the lot.

Luke Moore 2013-14 P/L: - £148.30


A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.


Season P/L

1. Joe Dyer: + £12.00
2. Mike Norman: + £2.80
3. Dan Thomas: - £0.21
4. Luke Moore: - £148.30

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