The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2013/14: Round 29

Chris Hughton has got Norwich very well organised
Chris Hughton has got Norwich very well organised
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Wins for Joe Dyer and Mike Norman last weekend reduced the gap at the top as leader Dan Thomas slipped-up, but with plenty of twists and turns to go in this season's Betting Battle it's still anyone's title to take as we enter round 29...

"Norwich are all about defensive organisation and we've seen them shut out Spurs, Man City, Newcastle, Hull and Sunderland in recent weeks so it's hard to see Villa - who have failed to score in their past three games - having much joy in front of goal. It's at the other end where Hughton's men have struggled, with just six goals in their last 12, so it all points to a low scoring encounter."

Back Under 2.5 Goals in Aston Villa v Norwich at 1.784/5


Dan Thomas
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Aston Villa v Norwich at 1.784/5
Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports 3

As a Spurs fan I should have known better than to rely on the stats ahead of their trip to Norwich - the Lilywhites are adept at finding new ways to let their fans (and punters) down!

That is not to take any credit away from the Canaries, however, who were superb on the day and it's with Chris Hughton's men I'm focusing on again this weekend.

If they perform at a similar level against a misfiring Villa on Sunday, an away win at 3.953/1 is certainly a runner but, with only four victories on their travels in 32 games under Hughton, I'm swerving that and sticking with the goals markets.

Norwich are all about defensive organisation and we've seen them shut out Spurs, Man City, Newcastle, Hull and Sunderland in recent weeks so it's hard to see Villa - who have failed to score in their past three games - having much joy in front of goal.

It's at the other end where Hughton's men have struggled, with just six goals in their last 12, so it all points to a low scoring encounter. 

Dan Thomas 2013-14 P/L: + £26.99


Joe Dyer
Back Under 2.5 goals in Everton v West Ham @ 2.1211/10
Saturday, 15:00

Do my eyes deceive me? 

Odds-against on under 2.5 goals in Everton v West Ham just looks wrong to me, so I'm duty bound to make it my selection in the battle this week. 

I'll make no apologies for what might look like another boring bet. It's tough enough finding winners so when you feel the market has got the wrong prices in a two-runner race there can be only one course of action. 

What we know about these sides is that they are defensively strong and there's every chance this could be a very low-scoring contest.

West Ham's four game winning streak has seen them concede just one goal while they have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 league games this season.

Everton's goals have dried up of late, drawing blanks against Chelsea and Spurs and only squeezing past Aston Villa thanks to two strikes in the last 15 minutes. A 3-1 defeat of Swansea in the cup shouldn't paper over the cracks as the Welsh side didn't seem 100% focused on staying in the competition. 

Provided West Ham keep their focus and don't consider the Premier League relegation fight to be over I think this has the hallmarks of a close-fought, low-scoring contest. 

Joe Dyer 2013-14 P/L: + £7.30


Mike Norman
Back Liverpool HT/Liverpool FT @ 3.412/5 v Southampton
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

I was extremely close to being within a few quid of Dan at the top of the standings after my 3.8514/5 selection in last week's battle obliged, then my 4.1 wager on Over 3.5 Goals in the Sheff Wed v Charlton FA Cup tie (carried forward after the match was postponed a week earlier) looked like landing with the score at 1-2 with half an hour to go.

Unfortunately there were to be no more goals at Hillsborough and I'm still just over £50 behind the lead but if anything I've been encouraged to go for the bigger-price bets from now on. So this week I'm going for a Liverpool win, but because they're so prolific in the first half I'm going for them to lead at half time also.

The Reds have scored first-half goals in every one of their last 17 league games, quite staggering really, and they've led at the interval in 18 of their 27 Premier League matches this season.

If they are to beat Southampton on Saturday then there's every chance that they'll do it by scoring early again, and because Brendan Rodgers' men are in such brilliant form in front of goal I'm happy to take a chance on Liverpool HT/Liverpool FT @ 3.412/5.

Mike Norman 2013-14 P/L: - £24.00


Luke Moore
Back Hull to beat Newcastle at 2.466/4
Saturday, 15:00

Trust Manchester United to put a half decent performance together when I opposed them in last week's Battle! Back to normal against Olympiakos of course.

I'm avoiding the bigger prices this weekend with my deficit in real danger of going in to three figures and going for a solid home win instead.

Hull will be in confident mood after despatching Brighton in the FA Cup on Monday, a win that came just two days after a superb 4-0 win at Cardiff. And while their recent home form isn't great, with just one win in six Premier League games, that victory was a 6-0 thrashing of Fulham.

Newcastle finally put an end to their dreadful losing run last week with a last gasp win over Villa, courtesy of talisman Loic Remy, but it wasn't a particularly good performance. If Hull can keep the Frenchman quiet you can't see the Magpies - scoreless in seven of the last nine games - getting on the scoresheet so it's a home win for me.

Luke Moore 2013-14 P/L: - £98.30

A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.


Editors' Battle P/L

1. Dan Thomas: + £26.99
2. Joe Dyer: + £7.30
3. Mike Norman: - £24.00
4. Luke Moore: - £98.30

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