Back Swansea Win/Under 3.5 Goals Double @ 13/8
Saturday May 13, 15:00
It's exceptionally unimaginative of me, but I can't get away from Swansea for my battle bet this weekend.
Yes, they're odds-on to win away from home but only a shade under evens, and they travel to the league's worst side knowing that victory will give them a huge chance of avoiding relegation.
With Gylfi Sigurdsson and Fernando Llorente in attack the firepower is there to get past an occasionally obdurate home defence and the visiting backline should be able to keep the home side out.
At 1.981/1 to win I think they are a solid match odds bet, but I'll try to snare a bit more value by backing the away win combined with under 3.5 goals on the Sportsbook at 13/8.
Joe Dyer 2016-17 P/L: +£37.70
Back Burnley @ 4.1 to beat Bournemouth
There isn't much to separate Bournemouth and Burnley on recent form, and there isn't much to separate them in the table either; just two points in fact.
Obviously the Cherries have home advantage, which is why they're favourites to win, but at 4.1 to back I can easily give the Clarets a chance.
The away form of Sean Dyche's men has been well documented, but they have rarely been disgraced on their travels in 2017 and - hindsight is a wonderful thing I know - it was inevitable that they'd eventually win on the road given how they were performing.
That first away victory came at a very much in-form Crystal Palace, and a repeat of that showing will see them win this game. Eddie Howe's men are completely safe from the drop and can play in 'beach' mode here, and although Burnley are 99.9% safe, I just know that Dyche won't let his men relax until they are mathematically safe from the drop.
As I say, there isn't much between these two and a draw is probably the sensible play, but if the outcome comes down to desire and determination then I just sense that Burnley will have more of it on Saturday afternoon.
Mike Norman 2016-17 P/L: +£25.70
Back Chelsea to beat West Brom 2-0 at 7.613/2
Live on Sky Sports 1
With just two rounds left of the Battle and having fallen a fair few quid behind Joe, I'm pulling out the big guns - otherwise known as a Correct Score bet - in an attempt to take a decent lead into the final week.
Chelsea can secure the title with a win at the Hawthorns on Friday night and I fancy they'll do it in reasonably comfortable fashion.
After going without a clean sheet for months, Antonio Conte's men have not conceded in the last two and it's hard to see a West Brom side - who have lost the last three on home soil without scoring - giving the Blues backline any problems.
The danger with this bet is that Chelsea will win in even more comprehensive fashion but I suspect that, once the job is done and three points are in the bag, they will take their foot off the pedal and start the party.
Dan Thomas 2016-17 P/L: -£1.60
Back Any Other Home Win in Everton v Watford at 6.611/2
I'm scratching around for a winner at a big price to give me any chance of lifting myself off the bottom this season. If I can grab a juicy one this week and another juicy one on the final day I might have a chance of not picking up the wooden spoon - a far cry from my winning performance two seasons ago.
Everton are brilliant at home, and should they win this one they'll have picked up their highest points total at home in their Premier League history. With Romelu Lukaku fit and firing (Opta tell us he's got 14 in his last 10 home games) and Watford in a bit of trouble form-wise, it's not a huge stretch to imagine the Toffees scoring a hatful.
Fingers crossed this one comes in and the other boys lose!
Luke Moore 2016-17 P/L: -£82.30
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