The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2016/17: Round 28

Editor
10 March 2017

Dan is expecting goals when Eddie Howe's men host West Ham, while Mike predicts an away win

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All change in the chasing pack last time out as a late Liverpool goal handed Dan Thomas a winner sending him into second place, while Luke Moore landed a much needed winning bet. Here's where the editors' tenners are headed this weekend...

"Slaven Bilic's men have lost just once in the league away from home in the last four months, and during that time they've had draws at Manchester United and Liverpool, scored four past Swansea at the Liberty Stadium, and comfortably beat Middlesbrough and Southampton by two-goal margins."

Mike Norman says Back West Ham @ 2.8615/8 to beat Bournemouth

Mike Norman
Back West Ham @ 2.8615/8 to beat Bournemouth
Saturday, 15:00

Bournemouth are without a single win in 2017, that's a total of nine games, and although they broke a losing run with a spirited draw at Old Trafford last Saturday I just don't see why they should be favourites to beat West Ham this weekend.

Eddie Howe's men conceded a total of 24 goals in those nine winless games, and last week they looked all over the place defensively but somehow rode their luck to concede just the once against United. Tyrone Mings is suspended, so Bournemouth's defence is hardly about to become stronger.

The Hammers have been excellent away from home recently, and that's the main reason why they have to be the selection here.

Slaven Bilic's men have lost just once in the league away from home in the last four months, and during that time they've had draws at Manchester United and Liverpool, scored four past Swansea at the Liberty Stadium, and comfortably beat Middlesbrough and Southampton by two-goal margins.

Against a Bournemouth side in dire form I'm very surprised the West Ham aren't favourites to win this match, and they just have to be my Battle selection this week.

Mike Norman 2016-17 P/L: +£71.90

Dan Thomas
Back Over 3.5 Goals in Bournemouth v West Ham at 2.942/1
Saturday, 15:00

With just four games in the Premier League this weekend, I'm also off to the Vitality for my bet, but focusing on goals rather than the match odds, as I think this could be an end-to-end affair.

As Mike says, Bournemouth aren't in great nick but their games usually feature plenty of goal action - 22 have been scored in their past six matches - while there have been 21 in West Ham's last six.

Slaven Bilic's team are particularly entertaining on the road with two 3-1 victories and a 4-1 in recent weeks and they should have enough firepower to score at least a couple against the Cherries.

Eddie Howe's men will be in confident mood themselves after a superb point at Old Trafford, so I'm happy to back four goals or more at just shy of 2/1.

Dan Thomas 2016-17 P/L: -£7.50

Joe Dyer
Back Everton -1 v West Brom @ 15/8
Saturday, 15:00

I overcooked Everton's chances of stopping Spurs last weekend, but undeterred I will support the Merseysiders again in round 28 of the battle.

The Toffees are a serious force at home, defeated only once in 13, winning eight of those matches. Their 27 goals in home matches is bettered only by Chelsea, Liverpool and Spurs. Only those two London clubs have conceded fewer than Everton's 10.

Saturday's opponents, West Brom, have really enjoyed their season so far and can give most teams in the division a genuine fright at times, but most of their best stuff has come at The Hawthorns. Away from home the Baggies are a more compact outfit, who make themselves difficult to break down.

That makes it tough to back Everton in the many different match odds variants, but there is just enough juice in quotes of 15/8 about a home victory conceding a goal start to tempt me in.

That 3-2 defeat at White Hart Lane ended a six game unbeaten run and Everton will be desperate to return to winning ways, and I think they are capable of blowing the Baggies away or at least not conceding while recording two or more of their own.

Joe Dyer 2016-17 P/L: -£18.35

Luke Moore

Back Fernando Llorente to score anytime in Hull v Swansea at 7/4
Saturday, 15:00

Fernando Llorente is having a great first season in the Premier League and looks to be a forward who, even at the ripe old age of 32, looks tailor-made for the Premier League. He's big, strong, capable in the air and good with both feet. He's also scored five goals in his last six games.

For all the chat about the difference Paul Clement and Marco Silva have made at their respective clubs, I feel a lot of that has been overstated at Hull. Yes, Silva has done a good job and Hull still have a chance to stay up, but whichever way you look at it, they're still right in the middle of a relegation dogfight and are six points worse off than Clement's Swans.

More importantly they concede a lot of goals, and that's something Llorente can take advantage of. He's looked in absolutely brilliant form of late, and I've seen nothing in that Hull backline to dissuade me from backing him to nab one at 7/4.

Luke Moore 2016-17 P/L: -£64.30

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