The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2016/17: Round 8

Claude Puel's Southampton have been parsimonious in recent weeks
Claude Puel's Southampton have been parsimonious in recent weeks
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All change in the Betting Battle in the last round with Joe Dyer taking top spot from long-time leader Mike Norman, while Luke Moore and Dan Thomas' struggles continued. With the Premier League returning after the international break, the editors makes their selections for Round 8...

"City are still top of the table let us not forget, and their aggregate score from their last three home games in all competitions is 11-1. They covered the -1 goal handicap in all three of those matches and a price of 13/10 on the Sportsbook about them doing likewise against Everton is very fair."

Joe Dyer
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.021/1 in Southampton v Burnley
Sunday, 16:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

Two of the Premier League's best defensive sides meet in the late Sunday kick-off and I'm surprised that the markets are undecided on how many goals we'll see.

Southampton and Burnley have kept five clean sheets between them through the first seven matches in the Premier League and yet unders trades at a shade of odds-against. That'll do for me.

Burnley are yet to score on their top-flight travels and, even with doubts over Ryan Bertrand and Cedric Soares, a Saints defence that has kept six consecutive clean sheets should be able to keep Sunday's opponents at bay. Better still, Southampton's attack hasn't been in firing form of late, failing to score against Hapoel Beer Sheva and Leicester in the last two, and with only three goals scored in front of the St Mary's crowd in three Premier League fixtures.

It seems more likely than not that this will be a low-scoring encounter and 2.021/1 on Unders must be considered decent value.

Joe Dyer 2015-16 P/L: +£20.45


Mike Norman
Back Man City -1 @ 13/10 to beat Everton
Saturday, 15:00

I haven't been as convinced by Everton this season as seemingly many others have, and I said as much when opposing them against Bournemouth just when they'd won four league games on the spin. I was proved correct that day as they lost, and they've since lost at home to Norwich in the EFL Cup and failed to beat Crystal Palace back in the league.

Without being disrespectful to the clubs they've played, Everton haven't really had a tough start with the only top six side they've faced being Spurs on the opening weekend, a game in which they started brightly but were extremely fortunate not to lose.

Against Man City I can see Everton really struggling and I'm happy to wager that they'll lose by at least two goals.

Pep Guardiola's men lost to Tottenham before the international break but that's their only blip so far this term and I'm confident they can bounce back at the Etihad Stadium with Sergio Aguero back in the side and hopefully too the brilliant Kevin de Bruyne.

City are still top of the table let us not forget, and their aggregate score from their last three home games in all competitions is 11-1. They covered the -1 goal handicap in all three of those matches and a price of 13/10 on the Sportsbook about them doing likewise against Everton is very fair.

Mike Norman 2015-16 P/L: +£5.60


Luke Moore
Back Crystal Palace to beat West Ham at 2.226/5
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

I was surprised to see Palace at odds-against for this game, and to me it seems like the market is still overrating West Ham based on last season's exploits rather than their terrible performances this term. Opta tell us that the Hammers are in the middle of their worst start since 1988/89 and they've only picked up four points in their seven games so far.

On the other hand, Palace are in decent nick - 11 points in their last five games - and Christian Benteke is fit and firing. If you also take into account that Jason Puncheon has created more chances than anyone else in the Premier League this season, the Eagles should have their fair share of opportunities in front of goal on Saturday teatime.

What's more, Slaven Bilic's men have a whole raft of injuries to deal with, including the likes of Aaron Cresswell, celebrated 'different option' Andy Carroll and new signing Gokhan Tore. I fancy a home win here, and at such a big price relatively, I'm happy to back Alan Pardew's side.

Luke Moore 2015-16 P/L: -£48.50


Dan Thomas
Back Arsenal to win and both teams to score v Swansea at 7/4
Saturday, 15:00

If new Swansea manager Bob Bradley is a fan of omens, he'll enjoy reading that no visiting team has a better record at the Emirates than the Welshmen - they average two points per game in north London, with three wins and a draw in their last four trips.

Can they make it four from five? A price of 13.5 on the Exchange match odds market suggests not, but I'm expecting Bradley's new charges to give the Gunners a game and I think they will find the net, as they already have done against Man City, Chelsea and Liverpool.

Both teams to score is a fair price at around 2.0421/20 but I need more than even money winners right now, so I'll take the 7/4 that the Swans will score in eventual defeat. Arsenal are on a run of five wins on the bounce and even a newly fire up Swansea will find them too hot to handle.


Dan Thomas 2015-16 P/L: -£50.00


***


For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.



Joe thumbnail 50 x45.PNGJoe Dyer
P/L: +£20.45


Mike thumbnail 50 x 45.PNGMike Norman
P/L: +£5.60


Luke thumbnail.PNGLuke Moore
P/L: -£48.50


Dan thumbnail 50 x 45.PNGDan Thomas
P/L: -£50.00

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