The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2016/17: Round 5

Joe Dyer thinks there'll be goals when Walter Mazzarri's Watford take on Man United
Joe Dyer thinks there'll be goals when Walter Mazzarri's Watford take on Man United
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Another win for Mike Norman last weekend saw him stretch his lead at the top of the Battle, with the other three editors needing a win to stay in touch at this early stage. Here's where their tenners are headed for Round 5...

"Jose Mourinho doesn't quite have his team ticking as he would like, but the attack is functioning pretty well and, with the home side primed to have a go at any opponent I think this could be an entertaining affair and I am delighted to be getting near even money on overs."

Mike Norman
Back West Ham @ 3.002/1 to beat West Brom
Saturday, 15:00

Three Battle Bet wins in succession have put me nicely into profit at this early stage of the season but rather than consolidate with a 'banker' I'm going for a selection this week purely based on price.

If anyone can explain to me why West Brom are favourites to beat West Ham then please go ahead.

The Baggies were the second lowest scorers in the Premier League last season (second only to relegated Aston Villa) and guess what, they're already the joint lowest scorers this term. They are devoid of ability as a team and they lack a top class goalscorer - I think they're in for a long hard season.

West Brom have just failed to score a single goal in two lifeless displays against Middlesbrough and Bournemouth, yet here they are trading as favourites to beat one of last season's best away sides, a team that finished seventh in the table. I don't get it.

Okay, the Hammers haven't started the season great but they can be excused away defeats at Chelsea and Man City, those were very tough tasks. It's not hard to think back to last season when Slaven Bilic's men were beating the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool and Man City on the road yet they have largely the same team this time around.

West Ham will click into gear sooner rather than later but they might just need a solitary strike on Saturday to beat goal-shy West Brom, and that's why they're my selection this weekend.

Mike Norman 2015-16 P/L: +£35.60


Joe Dyer
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9720/21 in Watford v Manchester United
Sunday, 12:00
Live on BT Sport 1

For all its brilliance I'm still smarting from Robert Snodgrass's 95th minute free kick that killed my under 1.5 goals bet at the very death of the Burnley-Hull fixture.

On the cusp of a sweet £18 boost to the pot I am just one losing bet away from negative territory. Time to dig out a winner!

Once again I am drawn to the Over/Unders markets and I just have to play overs at just shy of evens when Manchester United go to Watford on Sunday. I think overs should be far shorter to back.

The home side have one of the leakiest defences in the top-flight, conceding eight times in four matches and without a clean sheet in any competitive match this season. However, their seven goals is only bettered by Manchester City, Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal. It's the equal of Sunday's opponents, Zlatan and all.

Jose Mourinho doesn't quite have his team ticking as he would like, but the attack is functioning pretty well and, with the home side primed to have a go at any opponent I think this could be an entertaining affair and I am delighted to be getting near even money on overs.

Joe Dyer 2015-16 P/L: +£2.00


Luke Moore

Back Over 3.5 Goals in Chelsea v Liverpool at 2.942/1
Friday, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports 1

Unlike my regular football column, which is now over 12 points in profit already this season, I'm not finding winners in the Betting Battle with any consistency at the moment. Last week was particularly frustrating - Crystal Palace have been dreadful all year, yet managed to beat Middlesbrough at the Riverside which meant another blank for me.

I've decided to head to the bright lights of a Friday night in west London for this week's pick - I fancy goals in a big way at Stamford Bridge when entertaining Liverpool come to town. Jurgen Klopp's mob can't defend, but they are always good for a goal. On the other side of the team sheet, Chelsea look in great nick under Antonio Conte and Diego Costa has found his scoring boots.

All this under the rarefied atmosphere of a Friday night game with the recent history between these two sides taken into account? Well, it's sure to be explosive. 2.942/1 on Over 3.5 Goals takes my fancy.


Luke Moore 2015-16 P/L: -£18.50


Dan Thomas
Back Both Teams to Score in the Second Half in Southampton v Swansea at 13/5
Sunday, 14:15

Manchester United's failure to nick an undeserved equaliser against City last weekend has left me floundering at the bottom of the table as we go into Round 5, so I'm going for a slightly funky and nicely priced bet this week.

I was tempted to back Swansea here at a chunky 6.05/1 given Southampton's poor start to the season - just two points from four for Claude Puel's men - and the fact they have a Europa League game on Thursday, but the Welshmen have only beaten Burnley this season so it's a reluctant swerve.

Instead, I'm looking to the goals markets, where either Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score look like good bets at around evens given that the two teams have one clean sheet between them.

But I'm adding some juice to the price by backing BTTS in the second half on the Sportsbook. Opta tell us that there has been a goal scored in the final 11 minutes of each Premier League game involving Swansea this season, while all three of the Swans' three league goals against Southampton have been scored in the 73rd minute or later. Add in that both of Southampton's home goals this season have been scored after the break and you have yourself a bet...

Dan Thomas 2015-16 P/L: -£20.00


***


For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.



Mike thumbnail 50 x 45.PNGMike Norman
P/L: +£35.60


Joe thumbnail 50 x45.PNGJoe Dyer
P/L: +£2.00


Luke thumbnail.PNGLuke Moore
P/L: -£18.50


Dan thumbnail 50 x 45.PNGDan Thomas
P/L: -£20.00

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