The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2017/18: Round 7

Harry expects the Foxes to overcome Bournemouth
Harry expects the Foxes to overcome Bournemouth
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The editors were a missed Jamie Vardy penalty away from landing a full house last weekend, meaning there is a healthier look to the profit and loss figures as we go into Round 7. Here's where their tenners are headed this weekend...

This week's selections...
Harry Phillips - Back Leicester to beat Bournemouth at 2.68
Adam Baylis - Back Under 2.5 Goals in Arsenal v Brighton at 6/4
Joe Dyer - Back Arsenal to beat Brighton to nil @ 2.1
Mike Norman - Back Man Utd -2 v Crystal Palace at 6/4
Dan Thomas - Back Newcastle to beat Liverpool at 5.2

Harry Phillips
Leicester to beat Bournemouth @ 2.6813/8
Saturday, 15:00

Perhaps my head has gone but I was considering Crystal Palace on the double chance this weekend. Christian Benteke's injury put a swift end to that but I'll probably still lay Manchester United at a very short price and hope for a result.

Anyway we digress and this week I'm backing Leicester to beat Bournemouth. The Foxes are a team full of goals and sit sixth in the 'Expected Goals' (XG) table so far. That is all the more impressive when you consider they've played Manchester United, Liverpool and Chelsea in their six fixtures to date. It shows they're capable of creating chances against even the best teams.

Bournemouth on the other hand sit second bottom of the XG goals against table with 'leaky' probably the most accurate way to describe their defence. And unlike last season where they scored 65 goals - more than Manchester United - Eddie Howe's men have failed to really create chances this season and sit second bottom of the XG scored table. Based on what we've seen to date, Leicester look well capable of overcoming an under performing Cherries team.

Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: +£71.10


Adam Baylis
Back Under 2.5 goals in Arsenal v Brighton @ 6/4 (Betfair Sportsbook)
Sunday, 12:00
Live on BT Sport 1

I expect Monday night's game at the Emirates made pretty tough viewing for West Bromwich Albion followers and one can only hope that Bobby Madley was the first in line at the opticians on Tuesday morning.

Poor refereeing decisions aside, Arsenal didn't look particularly cohesive against the Baggies and their back four struggled to deal with the counter attack that Tony Pulis sides are so well known for. I expect Brighton to set up in a very similar fashion on Sunday and they'll have the wind in their sails after a good home win against Newcastle.

In addition the Seagulls will have had over a week on the training ground to prep for this fixture while Arsene Wenger's men will have clocked up their fair share of air miles, courtesy of a round trip to Belarus on Thursday night.

With or without assistance from the referee this week, Arsenal will probably have enough to come away with three points but I don't expect it to be easy and Under 2.5 goals looks decent value at 6/4 on the Betfair Sportsbook.

Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: +£4.75


Joe Dyer
Back Arsenal to beat Brighton to nil @ 2.111/10

Sunday, 12:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Simon Mignolet's save from Jamie Vardy's penalty almost certainly denied the column a five-timer at massive odds last weekend. Worse still it plunged me into negative territory in the battle and I am looking for a solid punting option to build that bank again.

My research has lead me to The Emirates where I will be backing a home win to nil at 2.111/10.

After an early season wobble Arsenal have kept clean sheets in their last three games (ahead of this evening's Europa test) and I fancy them to stretch that to four after Brighton pay a visit on Sunday.

A total of five goals through their six top-flight games puts Chris Hughton's outfit firmly in the ranks of Premier League low scorers. I think we can expect the Gunners to dominate possession and restrict Brighton mainly to chances on the counter.

And with their new-found defensive strength they should be able to fend off Brighton's attacking challenge.

Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: -£6.25


Mike Norman
Back Man Utd -2 @ 6/4 v Crystal Palace
Saturday, 15:00

I'll stick with the team that finally got me off and running in this season's Battle, and I very nearly repeated last week's bet - Man Utd Win to Nil - until I saw a price of 8/13. That's no good for me.

So instead I'll go for another big United win against the hapless Eagles.

Jose Mourinho's men have won five out of five at Old Trafford this season, scored 17 goals in the process and conceded just one. They've won all five of those games by at least a two-goal margin, and four of them by at least three goals, and they go into this match full of confidence after an excellent Champions League away win at CSKA Moscow where they once again won by three clear goals.

Palace are in dreadful form. Still without a single point, still without a single league goal, and they go to Old Trafford on the back of last week's 5-0 defeat at Man City. They've also lost their last 10 league outings at the Theatre of Dreams and failed to score in nine of those defeats.

Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: -£31.25


Dan Thomas
Back Newcastle to beat Liverpool at 5.24/1
Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Having finally got off the mark last weekend, I'm aiming to jump into the black this week by backing Rafa Benitez to get the better of his old team in the late Sunday game.

After an iffy start, Newcastle have found some form and are looking for their fourth win in five, and a third home victory on the bounce. They face a Reds team who had to travel to Russia in midweek and are struggling to keep the goals out - it's now 11 conceded in the past five games.

Sadio Mane's return from suspension will be a boost for Jurgen Klopp but, given those defensive difficulties, they look mighty short at 1.758/11. The Opta stats are in our favour here - Newcastle have won four of their last six home Premier League matches against Liverpool (D1 L1), winning each of their last two without conceding a goal.

Newcastle/Draw is a healthy 2.35/4 in the Double Chance market, but I'll take a chance on the bigger price for the home victory.

Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£31.25


***


For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.


The Editors' 2017/18 Season P/L:

1. Harry Phillips +£71.10
2. Adam Baylis +£4.75
3. Joe Dyer -£6.25
4. Mike Norman -£31.25
4. Dan Thomas -£31.25

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