The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2017/18: Round 6

Is Jurgen Klopp in for another torrid afternoon on the sidelines?
Is Jurgen Klopp in for another torrid afternoon on the sidelines?
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Another Watford-flavoured winner from Harry saw him extend his lead in the Battle last weekend, and he is sticking with the Hornets this week. Find out where all the editors' tenners are headed as we go into Round 6...

This week's selections

Harry Phillips Watford to beat Swansea @ 3.3512/5
Joe Dyer Back Leicester/Draw @ 2.0621/20 v Liverpool
Adam Baylis Everton to win v Bournemouth and both teams to score @ 13/5
Mike Norman Man Utd Win to Nil @ 15/8 v Southampton
Dan Thomas Chelsea -1 v Stoke @ 15/8

Harry Phillips
Back Watford to beat Swansea at 3.3512/5
Saturday, 15:00

Watford were on the end of an absolute hiding from Manchester City last week, but providing their confidence hasn't been shattered, they're worth a bet away to a toothless Swansea side.

Prior to that match, which I'm happy to write off, the Hornets won both away games against Bournemouth and Southampton and it might be that their counter attacking style is well suited to playing away from home. More importantly though, they deserved both those victories, outperforming the opposition on shots data on both occasions. Neither were flukes.

Swansea on the other hand have had the fewest shots on target in the league this season. They picked up a good point away at Spurs last weekend but the reality was they should have lost and failed to register a single shot on target. They'll have no other choice but to play more expansively Saturday than they did against Tottenham, given these are the games they'll need to win to stay up, and that should allow Watford space to create chances.

The final swinger in this bet is that Swansea played during the week, and fielded a fairly strong team against Reading. Watford have had extra time to prepare and recover from last weekend having not played midweek and this is an often underrated factor. Fingers crossed Marco Silva's men can deliver again.


Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: +£47.60


Joe Dyer
Back Leicester/draw @ 2.0621/20 v Liverpool
Saturday, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 1

It's not been a good few days for Liverpool, held at Burnley last weekend they suffered a loss at Leicester to knock them out of the Carabao Cup on Tuesday evening. I fancy the Foxes are a little overpriced to repeat the dose when the pair meet again in the Premier League on Saturday.

Shorn of Sadio Mane, Liverpool just aren't the same side. Here's an Opta stat for proof: Liverpool have won 2.13 points per game in the Premier League since the start of 2016-17 when Mane has started (30 games), compared to just 1.54 points per game without him starting in this period (13 games).

Leicester's record so far this year doesn't inspire confidence but a closer look shows only two league games played at home, and one of those was against the champions so a 2-1 defeat was understandable.

Though they have also lost against Arsenal and Manchester United, Leicester have shown themselves to be competitive in clashes against the better sides this year. Buoyed by that 2-0 win in midweek I fancy they are a better than even money bet to get at least a point from this clash with Jurgen Klopp's hugely talented but not unbeatable Liverpool side.

Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£3.75


Adam Baylis
Back Everton to win v Bournemouth and both teams to score @ 13/5 (Sportsbook)
Saturday 15:00

Both these sides have a huge amount to prove on Saturday with the vultures circling around Ronald Koeman's office and Eddie Howe looking to kick on after tasting victory for the first time this season against Brighton last weekend.

Goals have come at a premium for both teams so far this campaign but this fixture has proved quite the opposite with a total of 19 being scored across four encounters between the two sides. Now I don't expect the net to be bulging to quite that degree at Goodison this time around but nevertheless Jermain Defoe has found a bit of form and Everton are coming off a 3-0 win in the League Cup on Wednesday night.

Providing that facile victory hasn't taken too much out of Ronald Koeman's men, they look a far superior proposition on paper compared to the Cherries and while they may have lost their last three matches; those have come against Chelsea, Spurs and Man Utd respectively so I expect them to take this easier assignment in their stride.

Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: -£21.25


Mike Norman
Back Man Utd Win to Nil @ 15/8 v Southampton
Saturday, 15:00

Boy do I need a winner, but I'm not quite ready to change tactics and start putting up short prices just to get off the board. I've done four live TV previews this season, and called them all correct, and I'm also in profit on my regular Premier League tipsheet, so I must be doing something correct - just not in this Battle it seems.

Southampton haven't impressed me this season as of yet and I fancy table-toppers Manchester United to triumph at St Mary's on Saturday afternoon. But I also believe Jose Mourinho's men can win without conceding a goal.

The stats are quite damning for the Saints. They've failed to score on home soil in nine of their last 11 matches, and some of the teams they faced in that time include Hull, Wolves, Swansea, Watford, Stoke and Bournemouth, so an in-form, defensively solid United team ought to be able to go there and prevent them from scoring also.

And with Mourinho's men making an unbeaten start to the season, and scoring goals for fun in all competitions, I fully expect them to get on the scoresheet at St Mary's.

Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: -£50.00


Dan Thomas
Back Chelsea - 1 v Stoke at 15/8
Saturday, 15:00

A Battle loser after five minutes was a stunning new low last weekend and summed up my performance so far. Palace v Southampton was as dull as anticipated but the HT 0-0 was dead before people had even started thinking about their Saturday lunch.

But onwards and upwards and I'm looking to one of the Premier League's form sides to get me up and running finally this weekend, backing Chelsea to win comfortably when they visit Stoke.

The Potters may have impressed in beating Arsenal and drawing with Manchester United at the Bet365 this season, but their record against the bigger sides is pretty poor - that win over Arsene Wenger's men was the only time they have beaten one of the traditional 'big six' on home soil in 10 attempts.

Opta tell us that Chelsea have won seven of their last eight Premier League away matches, scoring at least two goals in six of these wins and the 15/8 on Antonio Conte's men to win by more than one goal looks very fair.

Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£50.00


***


For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.


The Editors' 2017/18 Season P/L:

1. Harry Phillips +£47.60
2. Joe Dyer +£3.75
3. Adam Baylis -£21.25
4. Mike Norman -£50.00
4. Dan Thomas -£50.00

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