Back Over 3.5 Goals in Watford v Manchester City at 2.427/5
Put simply, there should be goals in this one.
As Liverpool and Feyenoord will testify after taking poundings this week, City are explosive going forward with their array of attacking talent capable of blowing teams away. Yet, although the early signs are that they've improved defensively this season with the addition of Benjamin Mendy and Kyle Walker, Pep Guardiola's men still look vulnerable to conceding on occasion. Prior to Sadio Mane's red card last weekend, Liverpool were getting behind City's defence with ease.
On shots data, both of these sides have performed strongly so far this season and both have goals in the team. Watford's style under Marco Silva isn't to sit deep and play for a draw, especially at home and I expect them to come out and attack in what will hopefully be an open and entertaining game full of goals.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: +£33.40
Back Chelsea win/Over 2.5 goals double @ 7/5 v Arsenal
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Chelsea have been swiftly into their stride since that opening day aberration against Burnley and I fancy them to get a fourth Premier League win on the bounce when Arsenal visit on Sunday.
These two played at a similar time last year with the Gunners running out 3-0 winners. That capped a miserable month for Antonio Conte but the Blues were inspired thereafter, embarking on a 13 game winning streak in the Premier League.
That golden run played a huge part of the Blues' title triumph, and despite suffering a tricky summer in the transfer market and subsequent rumours surrounding Conte's future, Chelsea look at ease with themselves again. They are on a four-match unbeaten run in all competitions following Tuesday night's 6-0 hammering of Qarabag, which included a few appearances for some of the bench players.
Arsenal's Europa League fixture on Thursday is a negative for the visitors, who have been pretty dodgy in the Premier League, losing both away games so far. Chelsea won 17 home games last year so west London isn't the best place to put that poor run right. Arsene Wenger hasn't been able to conjure a top-flight win at Stamford Bridge since the 2011-12 campaign and I'm not sure the current vintage is cut out to break that run.
Wrapping a home win with overs pays out at 7/5 on the Sportsbook, which looks a fair price to me.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£13.75
Back Draw and BTTS in West Brom v West Ham at 7/2
Adam is away.
Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: -£11.25
Back Leicester @ 2.447/5 to beat Huddersfield
Although admitting Huddersfield accruing seven points from a possible nine to start their first ever Premier League campaign was a brilliant return, I didn't go too overboard simply because they hadn't exactly been handed a tough set of fixtures.
As it has turned out, Crystal Palace were dreadful under Frank de Boer, the Terriers only defeated newly-promoted Newcastle by a single goal on home soil, and they couldn't get the better of Southampton, also at home, who I believe are quite poor right now too.
David Wagner's men then suffered a 'deserved defeat', the manager's words not mine, at struggling West Ham on Monday night and I fancy they'll lose again when Leicester visit the John Smith's Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Foxes have had a really tough start, having to face Arsenal, Chelsea, and Manchester United already, but they performed well in all three of those games while getting the better of Brighton to record their only win of the season so far. They have won their last seven league games against Huddersfield and I like their chances of making it eight wins on the trot in this fixture.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: -£40.00
Back 0-0 at Half-Time in Crystal Palace at 13/8
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Huddersfield let me down at West Ham last week - although no regrets about backing them at 4/1, would do so again - so I've decided so shy away from the match odds this weekend, instead looking at a half-time result in Roy Hodgson's first game as Crystal Palace manager.
As Michael Cox says in his Big Match Tactical View, Hodgson will probably revert to the tried and trusted two banks of four, with keeping a clean sheet the first priority.
He'll be hopeful of getting one given that Southampton have registered blanks in all but one of their games so far. And with the Eagles still waiting for their first goal of the season, a classic is unlikely.
Under 2.5 Goals is understandably trading at just 1.75/7, but a better way of capitalising on what is likely to be a cagey affair is taking the first half to be goalless at 13/8.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£40.00
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