The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2017/18: Round 33
A huge correct score winner for Dan last weekend brought him to within touching distance of leader Adam, while Joe and Mike remain very much in contention with just a few rounds to go. Here's where the editors' tenners are headed this weekend...
Brighton can pull off entertaining win
Back Brighton to win and Over 2.5 goals v Huddersfield at 12/5 (Sportsbook)
Chris Hughton has done a tremendous job at Brighton this season and I'm hopeful he can add another three points to the Seagulls tally on Saturday.
Taking last weekend's loss to Leicester out of the equation, Brighton have won four of their last seven games at home - all of which have gone Over 2.5 - and they rank 8th in the league on home results, a stark contrast to their away form where they rank 18th.
Just a position above them on away form are Huddersfield who have really struggled to get going away from the Kirklees, scoring on just ten occasions and conceding 31.
Opta stat - After keeping a clean sheet in two of their opening three Premier League away games, Huddersfield have conceded in each of their last 13 on the road - the longest such run in the competition this season.
With the Terriers struggling on the road, it's no surprise to see Brighton trading at odds-on, but based on their goal-scoring ability at the Amex - only three sides outside of the top six have scored more - I can see this one going Over 2.5 again so the 12/5 on the Betfair Sportsbook appeals.
Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: +£97.15
Another easy afternoon at the Emirates for Wenger's men
Back Arsenal - 1 v Southampton at 7/5
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
Arsenal did me a huge favour last time out, landing me a nice [11.5] correct score winner - eventually - so it would be rude not to stick with the Gunners as they welcome another relegation-threatened outfit to the Emirates on Sunday.
Opta tell us Southampton are winless in all 18 Premier League visits to Arsenal - the highest number of games one team has played at another's ground without winning - and they have lost their last two games 3-0.
The Gunners, meanwhile, have won their last two by the same scoreline and are on a run of four consecutive wins in all competitions (writing this before the CSKA Moscow tie).
It's no surprise then that a home win is heavy odds-on but the one-goal handicap price of 7/5 is juicier than I expected and it's where my tenner is going this weekend.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: +£91.75
City mega value to pull off title-sealing win
Back Manchester City to beat Manchester United @ [1.94]
What a time for Manchester City to put in their worst performance of the season. Losing 3-0 to Liverpool was not in this season's script, but thankfully for Pep and co they have a chance to instantly put smiles back on the fans' face by defeating United in the derby to seal the Premier League title.
And somehow they have drifted out to [1.94] to do just that. It seems incredible value given they have won 14 of 15 at home and have already beaten United at Old Trafford this season.
Of course there are reasons to lack a little confidence in City for this game, not least of which is the recovery job they must pull off the following Tuesday against Liverpool.
Pep Guardiola may change the team around a touch to ensure he has his strongest XI available for the second leg of the Champions League tie, but I cannot see him missing the chance to emphatically put one over on their fiercest rivals and lift the title at their home ground.
That would be some way to lift the spirits and get in the mood for what would be a famous comeback against Liverpool just a few days later.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£58.15
Spurs to give Stoke another hiding
Back Any Other Away Win (win and score at least four) @ [5.2] in Stoke v Tottenham
Some teams just love playing others, as is the case when Tottenham have faced Stoke in recent season. The last four meetings between the two have resulted in Spurs winning every time, scoring 17 goals in the process and conceding just one.
In each of those four games Tottenham won by at least four goals including winning the last two trips to the bet365 Stadium 4-0 each time. We can back a similar result here at [5.2], and that screams value to me.
That's because the two clubs have never met in recent times with such a gulf between them as there is now. Spurs are firmly established in the top four and go into Saturday's game on the back of beating Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last week, where they scored three goals.
Stoke on the other hand are in deep relegation trouble, have lost three on the spin, and conceded three late goals at Arsenal last week. Don't be surprised one bit if Tottenham run out easy winners again by scoring at least four goals.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£52.80
A correct score punt at the Amex
Back Brighton to win 2-0 @ [9.0] v Huddersfield
I daren't look at the betting battle table but have been reliably informed I'm at the bottom of it. Given the Premier League could be won this weekend and we are quickly heading towards the end of the season, I need some big wins to stand any chance of forcing by way back into contention. There's no prizes for second place in this competition.
Step up, Brighton. I fancy the Seagulls to comfortably beat Huddersfield this weekend and in the process, virtually assure their Premier League survival. Until a blip against Leicester in their last match, Brighton has won their previous four home matches on the spin and have generally performed well at home this season. The signing of Locadia in January has given them new attacking impetus and they have really found their feet of late in front of goal.
Huddersfield on the other hand have been on the slide in recent weeks and have failed to find the net in their last four matches. Given their lack of firepower and Brighton's sturdy defence, I fancy the Seagulls to keep a clean sheet and am taking a flier on the score being 2-0.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£29.70
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2017/18 Season P/L:
1. Adam Baylis +£97.15
2. Dan Thomas +£91.75
3. Joe Dyer +£58.15
4. Mike Norman +£52.80
5. Harry Phillips -£29.70
Combined P/L: +£280.15
Adam Baylis: Back Brighton to win and Over 2.5 goals v Huddersfield at 12/5 (Sportsbook)
Dan Thomas: Back Arsenal - 1 v Southampton at 7/5
Joe Dyer: Back Manchester City to beat Manchester United @ [1.94]
Mike Norman: Back Any Other Away Win (win and score at least four) @ [5.2] in Stoke v Tottenham
Harry Phillips: Back Brighton to win 2-0 @ [9.0] v Huddersfield