The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2017/18: Round 27

Joe expects goals when Eddie Howe's men travel to Huddersfield
Joe expects goals when Eddie Howe's men travel to Huddersfield
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Mike cut Adam's lead at the top last time out with all the other editors remaining in the red after losing bets. Here's where their tenners are headed this weekend...

"Both teams will target a win in this one - Huddersfield would pull out of the bottom three with a victory while Bournemouth would as good as extinguish their relegation fears - and I think that sets up the prospect of a more open game than the Betfair market assumes."

Adam Baylis
Back Stoke to win v Brighton @ [2.24]
Saturday, 15:00

Stoke did me a good turn a few weeks ago when putting Huddersfield Town to the sword in Paul Lambert's first game in charge and the [2.24] on offer for them to dish out a beating to another promoted side on Saturday looks well worth taking.

Despite their lowly league position, the Potters have only lost three games at home against sides outside of the top six and Brighton's form away from the Amex doesn't make for pretty reading - W2 D3 L8.

The reverse fixture finished 2-2 earlier in the season and that came during tougher times for Stoke, showing they're well capable of matching up with Chris Hughton's side man for man. I'm not expecting a goal-fest but the home side can claim a much-needed victory in this 'six-pointer'.

Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: +£87.35


Mike Norman
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ [2.36] in Everton v Crystal Palace
Saturday, 15:00

Everton's defence was a shambles last week at Arsenal, and it hasn't been too great in general in recent weeks, conceding 15 goals in their last seven games. For that reason alone I think Over 2.5 Goals is massively over-price here at [2.36].

These two sides last met in November at Selhurst Park, and that game finished 2-2, and since then Palace have played six away games in which 18 goals have been scored, at an average of exactly three goals per game.

For the life of me I just can't understand why Under 2.5 Goals is trading at around the [1.7] mark. The Toffees have plenty of potential in attack, but their defence is very suspect, the stats are in our favour, and recent form is in our favour in terms of goals per match.

Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£33.80


Harry Phillips
Back Leicester/Draw v Man City at [5.2]
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

Harry is away. Again. Part-timer.

Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£17.70


Joe Dyer
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ [2.2] in Huddersfield v Bournemouth
Sunday, 12:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Two of the Premier League's worst defences meet at the John Smith's Stadium on Sunday and I think the over-under markets are upside down.

The low total (under 2.5) can currently be backed at [1.7] while three goals or more is a far healthier [2.24]. I will have some of that, thanks.

Huddersfield started the season with three consecutive clean sheets but have added just four to that total in the 23 top-flight games that followed. Only Stoke have conceded more than Huddersfield's 46 goals.

And in opposition is Bournemouth, who have definitely found their scoring touch in recent weeks, scoring two or more in all but one game since the turn of the year.

Happily for this bet, Bournemouth's defence is pretty terrible, too. Just five clean sheets kept and 37 conceded. Bizarrely, they managed to shut out Chelsea but have seen every opponent in the preceding 11 game score at least once. Stoke's powderpuff attack scored within five minutes of their fixture last Saturday.

Both teams will target a win in this one - Huddersfield would pull out of the bottom three with a victory while Bournemouth would as good as extinguish their relegation fears - and I think that sets up the prospect of a more open game than the Betfair market assumes.

Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: -£41.25


Dan Thomas
Back Manchester United/Under 2.5 Goals v Newcastle at 5/2
Sunday, 14:15
Live on Sky Sports Main Event

There have been plenty of exciting Newcastle v Man Utd clashes over the years - Albert's chip, Shearer v Keane, Scholes' hat-trick - but I'm not expecting a repeat on Sunday.

Rafa Benitez has taken criticism for his approach against the better teams but he's a stubborn sort and he's unlikely to play an open game against a United side who have a great record at St James' (won nine of the last 13 trips).

Newcastle will look to keep it tight and try and nick one on the break but the visitors have been strong defensively this season, with 15 clean sheets, and it's hard to see the Magpies netting.

Jose Mourinho's men will probably have enough firepower to wear Newcastle down eventually but, with five of their last six in the league featuring two goals or fewer, it won't be a walkover and 5/2 on a 1-0 or 2-0 win is where my tenner is headed.

Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£59.25


***


For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.


The Editors' 2017/18 Season P/L:

1. Adam Baylis +£87.35
2. Mike Norman +£33.80
3. Harry Phillips -£17.70
4. Joe Dyer -£41.25
5. Dan Thomas -£59.25

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