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The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2017/18: Round 24

Can Jamie Vardy's Leicester get Joe back into profit in this week's battle?
Can Jamie Vardy's Leicester get Joe back into profit in this week's battle?
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Adam Baylis extended his lead last week when his beloved West Brom finally got back to winning ways, while Harry Phillips had a nice winner too. Here's this week's quintet of selections as the Betting Battle approaches the final third of the season...

"The Terriers' away form ranks them third worst in the Premier League while Stoke have only lost three games in the Potteries against sides outside of the top six."

Adam Baylis: Back Stoke to win v Huddersfield at [2.08]

Adam Baylis
Back Stoke to win v Huddersfield at [2.08]
Saturday, 15:00

Paul Lambert takes charge of Stoke for the first time on Saturday in this 'six pointer' and Potters fans will be hoping the new manager bounce effect takes hold immediately. The new man at the helm will only have had a few days to impart his wisdom but that might be enough to inspire a victory over a Huddersfield side that come into this clash after being soundly beaten 4-1 by West Ham at home.

For all of Stoke's consistent failings defensively, the fact that David Wagner's men have only netted on eight occasions away from home this season should inspire some confidence. In addition the Terriers' away form ranks them third worst in the Premier League while Stoke have only lost three games in the Potteries against sides outside of the top six.

The [2.08] available for a first victory on Saturday for Lambert seems more than fair enough to me but I do still worry about their long-term prospects of surviving the drop.

Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: +£74.75


Mike Norman
Back Everton to Win @ [2.16] v West Brom
Saturday, 15:00

We shouldn't ignore the fact that West Brom went 20 league games without a win prior to last week's victory at home to Brighton, and although that win - their first under Alan Pardew - will given them some belief and confidence, we also shouldn't forget that the Seagulls have a very poor away record, now not scoring a single goal in six consecutive league matches on the road.

Okay, Everton aren't exactly in great form either, but they have home advantage, are much higher in the table, and I'm very surprised that they aren't trading at odds-on to beat the Baggies.

The Toffees have now lost four on the spin, but only the narrow away defeat to Bournemouth was a slight surprise, losing to Manchester United, and away at Tottenham and Liverpool was no great shame.

Prior to their recent setback Sam Allardyce's men were unbeaten in eight, winning consecutive home games against the likes of West Ham, Huddersfield and Swansea, before drawing at Goodison Park with Chelsea. That's a stretch of strong home form, and a repeat of it should easily be good enough to beat a West Brom side that hasn't won away in the league since August.

Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£39.00


Joe Dyer
Back Leicester/Over 2.5 Goals double at [2.75] v Watford
Saturday, 15:00

The table suggests Leicester's home game with Watford could be tight but the Opta stats suggest otherwise.

Opta Stat One: Watford have picked up just five points from their last 30 available in the Premier League (W1 D2 L7) - no side has picked up fewer points over their last 10 games in the competition.

Opta Stat Two: Leicester have won seven of their last nine home league matches (including play-offs) against Watford (D1 L1), including each of the last two Premier League clashes.

So current and past form suggests the Foxes are worthy favourites and everything we know about the last few months of Premier League football franks that. Marco Silva's side have been sliding down the table for some time while Leicester, under Claude Puel, have been rising fast.

The Foxes are [1.87] favourites to win this, but I will roll that up with over 2.5 goals at [2.75] on the Betfair Sportsbook for (hopefully) bigger returns. One last Opta stat makes me reasonably confident that this one could land...

Opta Stat Three: Watford's 23 Premier League games this season have seen a total of 75 goals scored - only Man City's (84) and Liverpool's (82) have seen more.

Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: -£11.25


Harry Phillips
Back Crystal Palace/Draw at [2.88] v Arsenal
Saturday, 15:00

I'm keen to oppose Arsenal again this weekend. They're going through a difficult patch both on and off the pitch. With Alexis Sanchez, their talisman and best player virtually out the door (at the time of writing) and as of yet nobody through it Arsenal look no better than a Europa League team. They are also on a poor run of form with no wins in five including being dumped out of the FA Cup by Nottingham Forest.

Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey are only just back from injury and it's hard to know if they'll be 100% fit while their marquee summer signing Lacazette is struggling for goals. There just seems to be a toxic atmosphere around the club and it's not hard to see the fans turning on them if things don't fall their way early.

Crystal Palace on the other hand, have experienced a resurgence under Roy Hodgson and were one of only three teams to stop Manchester City winning this season. They are a match for most teams in the league now they've found their feet and you would back a front three of Wilfried Zaha, Christian Benteke and Andros Townsend to cause some damage to a weak Arsenal defence which has conceded 30 goals.

All in all there's enough reasons to oppose Arsenal at the prices.

Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£31.70


Dan Thomas
Back Brighton to beat Chelsea at [7.0]
Saturday, 12:30
Live on Sky Sports Football

It's long-odds bets all the way for me now, which leaves me with Swansea, Burnley and Brighton as they face Liverpool, Man Utd and Chelsea respectively (I'm discounting Newcastle at City, sorry Rafa).

Rampant Liverpool will surely have far too much for the Swans, while United are in efficient mode at the moment and don't look like losing so I've plumped for Chris Hughton's troops to shock Chelsea in the early game.

The Seagulls have only lost one of the last 10 at the Amex and are generally a tough nut to crack at home, with only Liverpool and City taking maximum points there. They face a Blues side who have drawn five games in succession (if you include the Cup replay this week) and look to be in a bit of a rut, with strong rumours suggesting Conte will be out in the summer.

Draw/Brighton in the Double Chance market is a perfectly acceptable [2.5] but I'll take the chance on a home win at an attractive 6/1.

Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£105.25


***


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The Editors' 2017/18 Season P/L:

1. Adam Baylis +£74.75
2. Mike Norman +£39.00
3. Joe Dyer -£11.25
4. Harry Phillips -£31.70
5. Dan Thomas -£105.25

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