Back Burnley @ 3.3512/5 to beat Brighton
When a price looks too good to be true then it probably is, but for the life of me I can't work out why Burnley are trading at 3.3512/5 to win this game, the outsiders of all three Match Odds options.
There is nothing in the Seagulls' recent form or home form this season to suggest that they should be strong favourites to win - their only two home wins were against fellow strugglers West Brom and Newcastle for example - and they go into this game without a win in six matches.
Burnley on the other hand are in flying form. They've won six of their last eight Premier League games, their latest victory briefly taking them into the top four of the table, and away from home they've already won at Chelsea, Everton, Southampton, and Bournemouth, four teams I'd rate better than Brighton, while they also held Spurs and Liverpool to draws away from home.
The Match Odds just look wrong to me. I'd have the Clarets as the favourites to win this game, so at 3.3512/5 to back then it's a no-brainer to put them up as the selection.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£54.00
Back Both Teams To Score and Leicester to win v Crystal Palace at 3.65
Leicester blew Southampton away in midweek and they really have found a new lease of life under Claude Puel. They come up against a Crystal Palace side on Saturday that may have now gone six games unbeaten but are also yet to record a victory away from Selhurst Park all season.
The Foxes are in equally good form, going five games unbeaten and the likes of Vardy, Okazaki and Mahrez look to have found their shooting boots again under the new manager. That isn't good news for the Eagles given they've only kept a clean sheet on two occasions this campaign and their own woes in front of goal have been well-documented.
The 1.9210/11 available on a Leicester win is sufficiently generous but BTTS has clicked in 65% of their games this season vs a league average of 44.79% so I'll take a chance that following their 2-2 draw with Bournemouth last weekend and 2-1 win on Tuesday that Palace have found some form going forward.
Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: +£51.55
Back a Draw in Stoke v West Ham at 3.412/5
Neither team can afford to lose this match and it screams a dull stalemate.
West Ham have improved in their past couple of games under David Moyes with a hard fought win over Chelsea and a draw against Arsenal - a game they almost won when Javier Hernandez hit the bar late on.
Stoke were dreadful at Tottenham but they actually played well against Burnley and should have got at least a point.
I fancy these two teams to cancel each other out and am backing the draw.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£14.50
Back Man City to win/Both Teams to Score double @ 2.982/1 v Spurs
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I'm betting against my own team this weekend - but no punter ever got rich by only siding with those they support.
While I think Spurs can make Saturday evening's set-to with Manchester City competitive, it's likely they will go down to defeat just as seven of eight visitors to The Etihad have this season.
Translated into a bet that means Spurs getting on the scoresheet but still losing. I can get nearly 2/1 on that option which looks more than acceptable. West Ham, Southampton and Arsenal have all tasted defeat in that way in Manchester in recent weeks.
And if Spurs pull off a shock win, at least I get the comfort of enjoying the victory!
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: -£26.65
Back Arsenal to beat Newcastle 3-0 at 10.09/1
Perhaps a little early to be pressing the panic button, but I've decided to dip in the Correct Score markets this week in an attempt to get out of the hole I find myself in.
The most obvious candidate for a predictable and comfortable win this weekend looks to be Arsenal, who simply love playing Newcastle at home. Opta tell us that the Gunners have won each of their last nine Premier League games against the Magpies, scoring 22 goals and conceding just six.
Apart from an unlucky reverse against Manchester United, Arsene Wenger's men have been in imperious form at home this season, winning every match, five without conceding. Newcastle, meanwhile, have only beaten struggling Swansea on their travels and have conceded nine in their last three on the road.
This should be a walk in the park for the hosts and the 10.09/1 on a 3-0 win looks very fair.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£65.25
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