The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2017/18: Round 15

Editor
30 November 2017

Goals are expected at the King Power Stadium on Saturday

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Mike Norman moved into profit for the season and Joe Dyer quickly moved back above Dan Thomas with midweek wins, but it's Adam Bayliss who still holds a clear lead going into round 15 of this season's Betting Battle...

- Adam Bayliss: Back Both Teams To Score in Leicester v Burnley at 2.0621/20
- Harry Phillips: Back Brighton/Draw @ 2.9215/8 in Double Chance v Liverpool
- Mike Norman: Back Everton -1 to Win @ 3.185/40 v Huddersfield
- Joe Dyer: Back Burnley/Draw @ 2.1411/10 in Double Chance v Leicester
- Dan Thomas: Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.6213/8 in West Brom v Palace

Adam Baylis
Back Both Teams To Score in Leicester v Burnley at 2.0621/20
Saturday 15:00

I'm not sure many could've predicted Burnley's phenomenal run of form - I certainly didn't - but they came up trumps again away at Bournemouth on Wednesday night. A key component to their success this campaign has been their results away from home with Manchester City the only side to have inflicted defeat on Sean Dyche's men.

Since grinding out a point against West Brom, midway through last month, Leicester have turned a corner and like their opponents have only been dealt a loss by Pep Guardiola's league leaders. Claude Puel has hit the ground running since coming in and both Jamie Vardy and Riyad Mahrez have found their goal-scoring boots again.

The Clarets have the third best defensive record in the league but I suspect the Leicester front-line will find a way past them. In equal measure there's enough fragility in the Foxes back four to give Chris Wood and Sam Vokes hope of finding the net so Both Teams To Score looks the way to go at odds against.

Adam Baylis 2017-18 P/L: +£81.55

Harry Phillips
Back Brighton/Draw @ 2.9215/8 in Double Chance v Liverpool
Saturday, 15:00

*Harry is away.

Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: +£15.50

Mike Norman
Back Everton -1 @ 3.185/40 v Huddersfield
Saturday, 15:00

There are a few factors that support the recommended bet - not least Everton's 4-0 hammering of West Ham in midweek - but this selection is mainly based on how poor Huddersfield are away from home.

David Wagner's men haven't scored a single goal on their travels in the seven games they've played since winning at Crystal Palace on the opening day of the season.

But the worrying aspect of that goalless run is that the Terriers haven't exactly had a difficult run of fixtures. Five of those away games were against teams currently in the bottom half of the table, and the two times they faced 'big six' teams - Liverpool and Arsenal - they lost by a combined scoreline of 8-0.

The Toffees will be buoyed by their big midweek win, and under incoming boss Sam Allardyce we can certainly expect their defence to tighten up. A price of over 2/1 about the home side winning by at least two goals looks very appealing to me.

Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£13.00

Joe Dyer
Back Burnley/Draw @ 2.1411/10 v Leicester
Saturday 15:00

Whenever I make a battle bet I try to find a market that looks 'wrong' - where the prices don't appear to correctly rate the chance of that event happening - and Leicester's win price against the mighty Burnley doesn't check out for me.

Yes, the Foxes have just beaten Spurs which looks a decent result on paper. But the London club are mired in a very odd slump at present and the Foxes aren't going to score two goals as good as that every week. And, let's face it, Tottenham aren't going to miss three golden chances every week. In other words - Leicester beat a good team but there was a hearty dose of luck to the result.

And if they hit the levels they achieved away to West Ham in the previous gameweek then Burnley have every chance of winning this.

The Clarets are putting together a stonking season and will go to the King Power Stadium full of confidence, having won four of seven so far, drawing two and losing only to Manchester City.

And that's why I give them a better chance than the 5.14/1 available on the Exchange. But to give myself a better chance of a battle win I will add the draw to the mix with a punt on the Double Chance market at 2.1411/10.

Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: -£19.85

Dan Thomas
Back Over 2.5 Goals in West Brom v Crystal Palace at 2.6213/8
Saturday, 15:00

Alan Pardew and Roy Hodgson may need some guidance on which dug out to sit in when West Brom face Crystal Palace on Saturday but I'm hoping wherever they sit, we'll get an entertaining game at the Hawthorns.

The reputation of the Baggies as a well drilled unit is probably why we're getting bigger than 6/4 on three or more goals being scored, but the recent reality is somewhat different: Over 2.5 Goals has landed in each of their last five home games.

And while Palace got their first away point of the season with a scrappy goalless draw at rivals Brighton in midweek, their recent games have featured plenty of goals, with overs landing in four of their past six games in all competitions.

Pardew has already said his team "will play on the front foot" so it should be an open game against a Palace side who will be keen to impress against their old boss and the 2.6213/8 on Overs looks like the bet of the weekend to me.

Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£35.25

***

For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.

The Editors' 2017/18 Season P/L:

1. Adam Baylis +£81.55
2. Harry Phillips +£15.50
3. Mike Norman +£13.00
4. Joe Dyer -£19.85
5. Dan Thomas -£35.25

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