The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round Seven
Joe was the only winner last week as Wolves avoided defeat at Old Trafford meaning he has extended his lead at the top of the Battle. Find out where the editors' tenners are headed for round seven...
"I like opposing out-of-form teams that are struggling to find that elusive win, and I especially like opposing teams that have lost 100% of their home games yet are trading as favourites to beat an established top-10 side."
Wolves to keep Saints at bay
Back Wolves to win to nil v Southampton @ [2.9]
Wolves did me a gigantic favour with that equaliser at Old Trafford last week and I will be sticking with Nuno Espirito Santo's impressive side again.
Southampton are no great shakes this season and I anticipate Wolves dominating the ball and chiselling out enough chances to land a comfortable, if low-scoring, win.
Put the season opener - a 2-2 draw with Everton - to one side and Wolves have not been destroying teams at Molyneux, but they have been very tough defensively ever since. Manchester City were restricted to one goal and Wolves then blanked Burnley and Leicester (in the cup).
Add in last weekend, when allowing Manchester United just the one goal, and previous clean sheets against West Ham and Sheffield Wednesday and there's a pleasing pattern to those results.
Wolves have no major injury concerns so we can assume there'll be more of the same so I'm happy to back Wolves to keep Saints at bay in a win without conceding.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£44.30
Struggling Magpies to fail Foxes test
Back Leicester @ [3.0] to beat Newcastle
I like opposing out-of-form teams that are struggling to find that elusive win, and I especially like opposing teams that have lost 100% of their home games yet are trading as favourites to beat an established top-10 side.
That's the deal on offer this week and I'm happy to take the [3.0] about Leicester taking all three points from St James' Park.
True, the Magpies have played Arsenal, Chelsea and Tottenham on home soil this term, and even though they've lost all three they did perform with credit, losing by a scoreline of 1-2 each time. But Rafa Benitez's men haven't exactly set the world alight when faced with easier tasks, failing to score against Cardiff and Crystal Palace and losing to Championship side Nottm Forest in the EFL Cup.
A winless run can be extremely hard to break and until Newcastle snap out of it I'm happy to oppose them. The Foxes have won three of their six Premier League games this term, including one on the road, and they're usually good for a goal or two, averaging around two per game this season.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£18.00
West Ham could make Jose Mourinho's problems worse
Back West Ham win/draw @ [2.06] v Manchester United
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Hopefully my break has done me good and I can get back to tipping something that wins, which is why I won't be backing Manchester United after their midweek collapse against Derby County in the Carabao Cup.
It's obvious that the strained relationship between Paul Pogba and Jose Mourinho isn't doing any wonders for the team. Their frosty training session conflict from the other day was captured by the cameras, became viral and it showed everyone that these problems aren't fantasy, they are real and it is quite evidently affecting results.
West Ham are starting to find their feet just at the right time. Facing an under par Manchester United means they could carry on their three-match unbeaten streak in all competitions, and just over evens for either the draw or a Hammers win is more than appealing.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£19.20
Toffees to get back on track
Back Everton to beat Fulham and both teams to score at 2/1
I know everyone says it, but I genuinely believe I must be the most unlucky man in betting after seeing my 'sure-fire' winner on over 2.5 goals at Fulham last week failing to come home, despite a goal in the second minute and one of the most open games of football you will see for a while.
But I'm rolling the dice on goals in The Cottagers game again, this time with both teams scoring and a home win when they travel to Goodison. Last week showed Fulham have plenty of attacking prowess, but they falter when it comes to defensive stability.
Everton have had a few bad results but had it not been for a man-of-the-match performance from Petr Cech at Arsenal they likely would have picked up at least a point at The Emirates and they will have taken encouragement.
They've got plenty of pace down both sides of the wings which is likely to cause trouble to the questionable back four of Fulham, especially in-front of the Goodison faithful.
I expect goals in the game but ultimately think the Toffees will have too much on the day.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£37.80
Expect an entertaining affair at St James' Park
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Newcastle v Leicester at [2.3]
I simply can't pick a winner in the match odds markets so I'm going for a goals bet this weekend and the most obvious odds-against candidate for a few looks to be St James' Park, where Leicester are the visitors.
All of Newcastle's three home games have seen overs land and it's the same story for Leicester's away games, with their three road trips seeing a total of 11 goals. So I was surprised to see Over 2.5 Goals as big as [2.3] on the Exchange and I'm more than happy to gobble it up.
Indeed, the Foxes should be the first name on any both teams to score acca - Opta tell us that BTTS has landed in 29 of their Premier League games since the start of last season, more than any other team.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£60.00
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Joe Dyer +£44.30
2. Mike Norman +£18.00
3. Jasmine Baba -£19.20
4. Harry Phillips -£37.80
5. Dan Thomas -£60.00
Joe Dyer: Back Wolves to win to nil v Southampton @ [2.9]
Mike Norman: Back Leicester @ [3.0] to beat Newcastle
Jasmine Baba: Back West Ham win/draw v Manchester United @ [2.06]
Harry Phillips: Back Everton to beat Fulham and both teams to score at 2/1
Dan Thomas: Back Over 2.5 Goals in Newcastle v Leicester at [2.3]