The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round Eight
Winners for Joe and Mike saw the pair extend their lead at the top of the Battle last weekend, with the other three editors in negative territory. Here's where their tenners are headed this weekend...
"Liverpool and Manchester City are the two best teams in the country, they both remain unbeaten in the Premier League, and when it comes to ability there's very little to choose between the two sides."
Stats suggest goals at the King Power
Back over 2.5 goals @ [1.98] in Leicester v Everton
Leicester and Everton are both into double figures for both goals scored and conceded and I really do fancy we'll see the net bulge a few times on Saturday afternoon.
Leicester stemmed the flow a little last weekend when winning 2-0 at St James' Park but the previous four Premier League games had all gone over the 2.5 barrier and it's five from seven so far this season for the Foxes.
Everton's record is remarkably similar with five of their fixtures breaching the 2.5 mark and they come into this having scored three in a top-flight match for the first time this season. The Toffees are poor on the road, too, keeping just one clean sheet in their last 12 road trips in the Premier League, conceding twice in all three away from Goodison this season.
So, although this game serves up two functioning attacks against two pretty average defences the market is struggling to split over and under 2.5 goals, making each around [1.98] to back.
Given the stats point to goals I have to make overs my bet this week.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£63.30
No separating the top two
Back the Draw @ [3.75] in Liverpool v Man City
Live on Sky Sports 1
Predicting a draw is always a tough task in Match Odds betting so I'll keep this short and sweet and simply put up the stalemate based on the odds.
Liverpool and Manchester City are the two best teams in the country, they both remain unbeaten in the Premier League, and when it comes to ability there's very little to choose between the two sides.
It should be a cracking match and it's one that really will boil down to who plays the best on the day. I don't think anyone will be surprise if Liverpool win or City win, but the Reds are [2.5] for the victory and the Citizens are [2.94].
So by the same token I don't think anyone will be surprised if the match ends all square, yet the odds on offer for that outcome are [3.75]. I'll take a punt on that thanks.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£38.00
Bournemouth are quietly coming along
Back Bournemouth/Draw v Watford @ [1.83]
As Mike mentioned in his bet, predicting a draw certainly is a tough task and with so many evenly poised matches this week (based on form and/or talent) I'm taking a safer option this week.
Watford started their season with a bang but have trailed away of late. In their last three league games, they've only managed to pick up a point away at Fulham. Granted their other two league games were at home against Manchester United and away at Arsenal, but you could also argue they should have taken away something in the latter, after dominating parts of the match and only allowing the Gunners to two shots on target.
Bournemouth, although having the same amount of points as the Hornets, have been creeping up steathily and although being drubbed by Burnley 4-0 a couple of weeks ago, the Cherries seem to be back on track. Yes, they seem to be a bit shoddy away but playing Watford when their form has dipped a little might invigorate them to get some sort of result at Vicarage Road.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£8.60
Nuno's men have won me over
Back Wolves @ [2.78] to beat Crystal Palace
My torrid run of luck goes on, with Ryan Sessegnon somehow missing from two yards out to allow Everton a win to nil. Although, I'd love to back the Cottagers once more I fear lightening might strike thrice, so I'm looking elsewhere this week with a bet on the larger success story of the promoted teams, Wolves.
Admittedly, I didn't quite buy into the Wolves being the real deal story when they were first promoted and thought they'd struggle back in the top-flight but I have to say they've won me over. Nuno Espirito Santo's side have not been afraid to actually try and play football and staying true to their style has paid dividends.
They take on Palace, away at Selhurst Park, which when you look at the table looks fairly evenly matched but a more thorough analysis shows Roy Hodgson's side have had a much easier run of fixtures, with them picking up their only two victories against Huddersfield and Fulham. Whereas Wolves have gone toe-to-toe with both Manchester sides and come away with points in both.
Wilfried Zaha does worry me slightly, that on his day he has more than the ability to change a game, but it's not enough to put me off as I think Wolves are a much stronger outfit and have a strong selection of quality themselves.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£47.80
Clarets to keep Terriers rooted to bottom
Back Burnley to beat Huddersfield @ [2.24]
Keeping it very simple this week. It was a slow start to the season for Burnley as they struggled to get to grips with the Europa League/Premier League schedule but they've got back on track in recent weeks and are on the hunt for a third league win on the bounce after hammering Bournemouth and coming from behind to beat Cardiff.
They face a Huddersfield outfit who are rock bottom after picking up just two points all season and are on a run of three consecutive defeats. The Terriers are a hard working team but they lack the quality, particularly in forward areas, to cause problems for most teams. It's pretty telling that Harry Kane is the top Premier League goalscorer at the John Smith's Stadium.
So better than 5/4 on Sean Dyche's men to pick up another three points looks good to me.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£70.00
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Joe Dyer +£63.30
2. Mike Norman +£38.00
3. Jasmine Baba -£8.60
4. Harry Phillips -£47.80
5. Dan Thomas -£70.00
Joe Dyer: Back over 2.5 goals @ [1.98] in Leicester v Everton
Mike Norman: Back the Draw @ [3.75] in Liverpool v Man City
Jasmine Baba: Back Bournemouth/Draw v Watford @ [1.83]
Harry Phillips: Back Wolves @ [2.78] to beat Crystal Palace
Dan Thomas: Back Burnley to beat Huddersfield @ [2.24]