The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 37

Rafa Benitez - Newcastle
Jasmine expects Rafa's Newcastle to inflict a massive blow on Liverpool's title hopes
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With just two rounds left of this season's Battle, Joe continues to lead the way from Mike but a big winner from Jasmine last time has given her a chance. Here's where the editors' tenners are headed...

"Liverpool need to keep up with Manchester City for any chance of winning the Premier League, but after a tough first leg Champions League semi-final against Barcelona on Wednesday night, I can see the Reds slipping up at St James' Park."

Bluebirds to stave off relegation for a week at least

Joe Dyer
Back Cardiff to beat Crystal Palace @ 2.6413/8
Saturday, 17:30
Live on BT Sport 1

With a four point gap to Brighton and just two games of the Premier League season remaining Cardiff absolutely must win on Saturday or relegation will be confirmed.

So, with lots of nothing games or horrible mismatches elsewhere in the top-flight, I have to make Neil Warnock's battlers my bet on this penultimate weekend.

I confess I don't expect Cardiff to win, and I am not overly enamoured with the price, but the Welsh side have not downed tools yet and though the losses far outweigh the wins, they have taken three points on nine occasions this season. Given their total and complete need to claim a win on Saturday evening they must be worth chancing.

I'd rather it wasn't Crystal Palace in town. Roy Hodgson's side have the better players, have found the wins a little easier to come by in these closing rounds of the Premier League and are a good travelling side, but there's nothing but pride to play for now and they may struggle to get up or this one.

Here's hoping anyway!

Joe Dyer 2018-19 P/L: +£59.50

United may win, but they'll also concede... maybe a few

Mike Norman
Back BTTS (YES) and Home Team Over 1.5 Goals @ 6.27 in Huddersfield v Man Utd
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

I stared at this weekend's fixtures for seemingly an age and just couldn't see anything that I really liked in the Match Odds. The game that kept catching my eye however is the one at the John Smith's Stadium, where Huddersfield will play their final Premier League game for at least 15 months.

The reason I kept looking at this particular game is because United have being playing so poorly of late, and defending dreadfully, that I just can't have them at long odds-on.

But they're playing the Terriers of course, the worst team in the division, in a must-win game to keep their top four hopes alive. There's no reason why United won't go to Huddersfield intent on attacking and it's not difficult to see them scoring two or three. They may have been defending badly of late, and generally playing below par, but with the talent in their side they should have few problems finding the net on Sunday.

But I can't get away from their poor form and awful defensive record. Incredibly United have kept fewer home clean sheets than any team this season, they're currently on a run of 13 games in a row without recording a shut-out, they've won just two of their last 10 games in all competitions, and they've lost five on the spin away from home, conceding at least two goals in each of those matches.

Huddersfield are poor, of course they are, and they struggle for goals. But there'll be a terrific atmosphere at the John Smith's Stadium and you can rest assured the players will be up for this one. And remember, they beat United 2-1 in this corresponding fixture last season.

Mike Norman 2018-19 P/L: +£22.90

The Rafa effect

Jasmine Baba
Back Newcastle (home) or Draw Double Chance v Liverpool @ 3.613/5
Saturday, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Main Event and Premier League

West Ham did the deed away at Tottenham to put me back into the mix of things with only two weeks to go. I've not gone as big this week, but it's still a bet I believe in.

Liverpool need to keep up with Manchester City for any chance of winning the Premier League, but after a tough first leg Champions League semi-final against Barcelona on Wednesday night, I can see the Reds slipping up at St James' Park.

Excuse the "slipping up" pun, but because of the infamous Steven Gerrard fall of 2014, I've been waiting on Liverpool to somehow spectacularly mess up the advantage they had over the defending champions in the league. I mean they had a seven point lead in early January, could have had held that advantage later that month, but now have ended up one point behind City; partly due to the fact they dropped points to Leicester, West Ham, Manchester United and Everton. Not spectacular, but it still has put them at a disadvantage.

So why do I think Newcastle are the ones to dent the Reds' dreams? Well, Rafa Benitez, the ex-Liverpool manager is no pushover. Under the difficult task of keeping the Magpies safe with limited resources, has done so admirably. They've only lost one of their last six home games, beating Manchester City in that run and they've only lost once in the last seven in this fixture (W4-D2-L1), which came in 2013 when Liverpool thrashed them 6-0.

I'm not sure if Newcastle are good enough to beat a team who has only lost once this season, but the 3.613/5 over a home win or draw, should be good value.

Jasmine Baba's 2018-19 P/L: -£33.65

City to edge nervous encounter

Dan Thomas
Back Man City to beat Leicester 2-1 @ 10.519/2
Monday, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

I got the score right in Watford v Wolves last time out - just the wrong way around - and I'm staying on the Correct Score bus this weekend as I aim to be within some sort of shooting distance for the final round.

Manchester City should have just about enough in the tank to overcome Leicester on Monday but there were plenty of nerves on show in their most recent home game against Tottenham, while they only edged past Burnley last time out, so expect more anxious shots of home fans as we go through the game.

Both of those victories were by a single goal and it could be a very similar story on Monday, against a Leicester side who come into the game in confident form after dismantling Arsenal last weekend.

Given the Foxes have scored in 10 consecutive away games, a home clean sheet looks extremely unlikely, so that leaves us with 2-1 as a likely scoreline, and that's my play at just under 10/1 on the Exchange at the time of writing.

Dan Thomas 2018-19 P/L: -£91.40

Another narrow defeat in north London for Seagulls

Harry Phillips
Back Arsenal to beat Brighton 1-0 at 7.06/1
Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

They seek him here, they seek him there, the editors seek him everywhere.

Harry Phillips 2018-19 P/L: -£153.00


For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.

The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:

1. Joe Dyer +£59.50
2. Mike Norman +£22.90
3. Jasmine Baba -£33.65
4. Dan Thomas -£91.40
5. Harry Phillips -£153.00

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