The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 32
All change in the standings last time out, as Dan came back from the dead with a [10.5] correct score winner. Can he deliver another big winner as the Battle returns? Here's where the editors' tenners are headed...
"In the expectancy that those two trends continue - Burnley scoring at home and Wolves performing poorly against the bottom sides - then a home win looks an excellent bet."
Eagles and Terriers could deliver goals
Back Crystal Palace win/over 2.5 goals double @ 6/4
In all likelihood Crystal Palace are already safe from the drop but another win or two would be nice and opportunities for three points don't come much better than the visit of Huddersfield. And an injury-hit Huddersfield at that.
The Premier League's bottom-placed club have won once in 15 trips, drawing three, and losing the other 11. They have conceded 33 across that sequence and gave up four last time out when blowing a 3-1 lead at The London Stadium, eventually going down to a 4-3 defeat.
The nice thing about that result is that it showed Huddersfield still have a little life left in them and they aren't going down with a whimper so I'm taking a chance on this game going over 2.5 goals while factoring in the home win of course.
It's a bet that pays out at 6/4 on the Betfair Sportsbook.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£42.70
Burnley to upset Wolves
Back Burnley to Win @ [3.3] v Wolves
Burnley have lost four on the spin, but they've had a few weeks to gather their thoughts and put some hard work in, and that's exactly what you would expect that they've been doing.
If there's one team in trouble that you'd expect to roll up their sleeves and fight more than any other then you'd have to say it's Sean Dyche's Burnley, and I believe the Clarets have an excellent chance of upsetting Wolves on Saturday.
For starters, Burnley have a great record at scoring in front of their own fans. They've managed to find the net at least once in 13 of their last 14 home games, the game they failed to score coming against Chelsea back in October.
And you also have to have major concerns about Wolves when it comes to them being favourites against the division's 'lesser lights'. They've lost twice to Huddersfield this term as well as the likes of Brighton, Cardiff and Crystal Palace, and they've also failed to beat Bournemouth, Newcastle, and Fulham when they were fancied to win.
In the expectancy that those two trends continue - Burnley scoring at home and Wolves performing poorly against the bottom sides - then a home win looks an excellent bet.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£12.50
Lacazette to shine in easy Arsenal win
Back Arsenal -2 v Newcastle and Alexandre Lacazette to score @ 9/2 (Same Game Multi)
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
They're not great on the road, but Unai Emery's Arsenal have becoming an efficient machine on home soil, winning the past nine in a row at the Emirates.
It's hard to see a Newcastle side, who have lost 11 of their last 12 against the Gunners, doing anything to end that winning run, despite some impressive performances against the bigger sides this season.
The market recognises this of course, with the hosts rated a [1.4] chance to get the three points. Backing Arsenal with a one-goal handicap is an attractive option at 11/10, but I'll take a chance that they'll be firing on all cylinders under lights on Monday, and take the -2 at 16/5.
I'm going to boost it to 9/2 by adding Alexandre Lacazette to score, at evens. The Frenchman loves playing in front of his own fans - Opta tell us he has scored 73% of his Premier League goals in home games (19/26).
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£41.40
Toffees toothless in London
Back West Ham to win v Everton @ [2.62]
Saturday 17:30, live on BT Sport 1
West Ham let me down last time in what ended up as a bizarre 4-3 scoreline against Huddersfield. Had the Hammers not been so sloppy in defence in the opening 30 minutes, I would have still been above Dan in the rankings today.
Onwards and upwards however, as I am sticking with my belief in the East London club as they take on Everton at the London Stadium. To be quite honest I've been disappointed with the Toffees this season. Yes their win against Chelsea was impressive, however Chelsea have been poor on the road and doesn't deflect from the other 30 games Everton have had this season. Not only that but the Toffees are winless in their last 10 Premier League games played in London (D3 L7).
West Ham should be feared, they're seventh in the table based on home form and are unbeaten in their last six which includes five wins and a draw. If you take into account that run had both Liverpool and Arsenal as well, they should be taken seriously as they try to cement a place in the top-half of the table.
Goals at both ends in south coast battle
Back Both Teams to Score in Brighton v Southampton @ [2.1]
Southampton make the short trip along the south coast to face Brighton in what is a classic relegation six-pointer, with the teams sitting in 15th and 16th place respectively.
There's little to choose between these two - indeed, the last three games have been draws - but I like the look of both teams scoring at the 11/10 mark.
The pair played out a 2-2 thriller at St Mary's earlier this season and with both likely to be targeting a massive win, it could be a relatively open game.
BTTS has landed in five of Brighton's last six, and four of Saints' last half dozen, so an odds-against price on the repeat looks attractive.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£103.00
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Joe Dyer +£42.70
2. Mike Norman +£12.50
3. Dan Thomas -£41.40
4. Jasmine Baba -£61.65
5. Harry Phillips -£103.00
Joe Dyer: Back Crystal Palace win/over 2.5 goals double @ 6/4
Mike Norman: Back Burnley to Win @ [3.3] v Wolves
Dan Thomas: Back Arsenal -2 v Newcastle and Alexandre Lacazette to score @ 9/2 (Same Game Multi)
Jasmine Baba: Back West Ham to win v Everton @ [2.62]
Harry Phillips: Back Both Teams to Score in Brighton v Southampton @ [2.1]