The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 30
Dan was the only winner last weekend as his [9.2] Correct Score punt landed, meaning it's as you were at the top of the Battle. Here's where the editors' tenners are landed for Round 30...
"Wolves relish a game against Top Six opposition; they have won more points against these sides (9) than any of the other 14 sides in the Premier League this season and have already avoided defeat away at Arsenal (1-1), Manchester United (1-1) and Tottenham (3-1)."
Toon too big
Back Newcastle to beat Everton @ [2.84]
I'm a little bruised after Paul Pogba's late missed pen kyboshed last week's bet, that coming just a couple of Battle rounds after Arsenal scored a 93rd minute own goal to nobble a win-to-nil punt on the Gooners.
It all adds up to a depleted P&L and I can find no certain winners (if such a thing exists) from this week's offerings.
But my betting nose has possibly sniffed out some value in the form of Newcastle who look hastily dismissed by Betfair customers after defeat at West Ham last weekend.
That result snapped a two-game winning streak (and three unbeaten) but back at St James' Park, and with the threat of relegation not quite dismissed yet, I think the [2.82] to beat Everton is worth an investment.
Rafa's boys have won their last three at home, beating Manchester City, Huddersfield and Burnley and conceding just one goal across that run.
Who really knows what to make of Everton this season? They have won a couple on the road recently, but Huddersfield and Cardiff are almost certainly going down and the Premier League away ledger reads: W4 D3 L7.
I wouldn't have these two sides so close in the betting - it's [2.9] for Everton to take the spoils - and while I don't think Newcastle will make it easy they do look the best bet.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£34.30
Slow-burner at Anfield
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [2.94] in Liverpool v Burnley
There are a few reasons to be confident about Under 2.5 Goals paying out at Anfield on Sunday, and odds of close to 2/1 make plenty of appeal.
Liverpool have gone off the boil in recent weeks and that's mainly down to the fact that the goals have dried up. Only twice in their last seven matches have they scored more than once in a game, and from their last four matches three of them have finished goalless.
Admittedly a home game against Burnley presents a good opportunity to get among the goals, but with the Reds facing a trip to Germany to play Bayern Munich in a massive Champions League encounter in midweek then it's very unlikely that Klopp will want his men to keep piling on the pressure if they go a goal or two up.
The Clarets' form has improved of late and they'll go to Anfield confident of making life tough for the hosts, and with this game kicking off at noon on Sunday, it's very likely that a slow-burner will play out.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: -£9.50
Wolves' Top Six factor to come into play
Improved performances from Chelsea, since their 2-0 defeat against Manchester United in the FA Cup and that 6-0 humbling at Manchester City, have seen them win four out of their last five games in all competitions.
It's a big change in mood from a couple of weeks ago, after they lost away to Arsenal, Bournemouth and then that defeat against City. The Blues are now in a comfortable place to win back a Top Four spot should they keep this run up, especially with a game in hand.
However, Wolves relish a game against Top Six opposition; they have won more points against these sides (9) than any of the other 14 sides in the Premier League this season and have already avoided defeat away at Arsenal (1-1), Manchester United (1-1) and Tottenham (3-1).
With Chelsea's recent wins coming against Dynamo Kiev, Fulham and Malmo, I believe that Wolves will be a harder test for them and could come out with at least a point. Admittedly, the Blues did beat Tottenham in that run too, but still look shaky at times. At [2.74], the Draw or Away result for the visitors is a good price.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£69.05
Cottagers to deny Rodgers
Back the draw in Leicester v Fulham @ [4.5]
Harry is, inevitably, away. He's not in prison, honest.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£104.80
Eagles to edge M23 derby
Back Crystal Palace to beat Brighton 1-0 @ [7.4]
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
A much needed winner last weekend has brought me back nearer to the pack and I'm sticking with the Correct Score approach this time around, focusing on the Saturday lunchtime game.
The last two clashes between these two bitter rivals have been goal laden - a 3-1 for Brighton at the Amex in December and a 3-2 win for Palace here last season - but I'm expecting this to be a much tighter affair.
Chris Hughton is likely to opt for a safety first approach given Brighton's dreadful away form - just one point from the last six - and that will frustrate a Palace side who have struggled for goals at home all season, scoring just 10 in 14 league games.
The Eagles are, however, in decent nick and they'd be my idea of the winner here, but it will probably only take a goal to do it, so I'll take the 1-0 at [7.4].
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£126.40
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Joe Dyer +£34.30
2. Mike Norman -£9.50
3. Jasmine Baba -£69.05
4. Harry Phillips -£104.80
5. Dan Thomas -£126.40
Joe Dyer: Back Newcastle to beat Everton @ [2.84]
Mike Norman: Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [2.94] in Liverpool v Burnley
Jasmine Baba: Back Draw or Away in the Double Chance market in Chelsea v Wolves @ [2.74]
Harry Phillips: Back the draw in Leicester v Fulham @ [4.5]
Dan Thomas: Back Crystal Palace to beat Brighton 1-0 @ [7.4]