The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 16
A rapid return to action for the editors after the full midweek programme which saw Joe take the lead in the Battle. Here's where their tenners are headed...
"After back-to-back wins this week, in which they scored three goals in each game, I'm a little surprised that West Ham aren't trading a bit shorter than the [2.32] available to beat struggling Crystal Palace."
Cardiff unfairly treated by Betfair market
Back Cardiff @ [2.98] v Southampton
Three wins in 16 games tells you that Cardiff are not a trustworthy outfit.
But that trio of triumphs all came at home, and all since October 20, so they may be developing a strong seam of pride, resilience and will to win when playing in front of the faithful at the Cardiff City Stadium.
I certainly think the Betfair Exchange players are being a little dismissive of Neil Warnock's side for this clash between two teams in the bottom five, making them [2.98] outsiders to [2.74] Southampton.
Cardiff actually come into the game higher in the table than the visitors and at least boast the continuity of a manager who has delivered the pre-match team-talk for more than 100 games. The home side will know exactly what the manager wants them to do on Saturday afternoon. In all likelihood, Southampton won't.
This is Ralph Hasenhuttl's first game in charge of Saints. Who knows, Ralph may have them playing exactly as he wants already, but almost certainly not, and I'd far rather be on the home side, drilled by a manager the side know and who will be collectively desperate to pick up another vital three points as they attempt to beat the odds and stay in the top-flight beyond a solitary season.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£28.50
Hammers a great price to see off the Eagles
Back West Ham @ [2.32] to beat Crystal Palace
After back-to-back wins this week, in which they scored three goals in each game, I'm a little surprised that West Ham aren't trading a bit shorter than the [2.32] available to beat struggling Crystal Palace.
I've been very disappointed with the Eagles this season. Initially thinking they would easily be a top 10 team I'm now starting to wonder if they are genuinely in danger of being relegated. I think they are.
When Wilfried Zaha doesn't play, or isn't on form, then they really struggle. He had a great game last Saturday against Burnley but the facts are that he hasn't scored since September now and Palace are really missing his goals.
It's also worth noting that the Eagles' three league wins this term were against Fulham, Huddersfield and Burnley; three of the bottom four in the Premier League currently.
West Ham have had a really tough set of fixtures to start the season and have already played every team currently in the top 10 of the table. Against the 'lesser' sides they have a decent record and they look ripe for a surge up the table over the coming weeks, hopefully starting with a home win over Palace on Saturday.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£18.50
Fulham can pile on United woe
Back Draw or Fulham in the Double Chance v Man Utd @ [3.7]
After backing Manchester United against Arsenal in the midweek round of fixtures, I sat down and watched how bad the hosts really were.
They were so awful that I can't find the words to describe the match; they only mustered a point because somehow Arsenal are as comically bad in defence. The game was intense, which you could say was an improvement from the half-hearted performances shown by some of the Man Utd players prior to this, but it was scrappy. Add into the fact that Manchester United have conceded more goals at Old Trafford in the Premier League this season (10 goals in seven games) than they did in the whole of 2017-18 (nine in 18 games) and you start to think just about anyone could take them on at the moment.
Their 2-2 draw highlights the Red Devils' fourth league game in a row without victory, and with Fulham starting to improve there's no reason on why the Cottagers can't match the result from their last outing here, a 2-2 draw back in February 2014.
The [3.7] on the double chance market for Fulham to Win or Draw is entirely sensible to back, as Jose Mourinho looks like he has lost control over his team.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£50.30
Clarets a big price
Back Burnley to beat Brighton @ [2.98]
With away trips to Tottenham and Arsenal on the horizon, Saturday's home game couldn't be any bigger for Sean Dyche as he looks to steer clear of the ignominy of being bottom at Christmas.
Although they may still be struggling with a "success hangover" after last season's outstanding perforance, Burnley have still got a decent amount of quality and have been unfortunate not to pick up more points.
They face a Brighton side who are no great shakes on the road, with only seven away points this season, and will be missing the influential Shane Duffy who is suspended. There are also injury doubts over talisman Glenn Murray.
Although Turf Moor has not been a fortress this season, almost 2/1 still looks overpriced for me as Dyche aims to rally the troops, with perhaps his job on-the-line.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£59.40
City to win entertaining encounter at the Bridge
Back Man City and BTTS v Chelsea at 23/10
Live on BT Sport 1
Very few teams will go to Stamford Bridge this season as odds-on favourites but then not many are as a good as this Man City side.
Another victory on the road for Pep Guardiola's men in midweek saw them take their unbeaten away run to 14 games (11 wins) and I expect them to pick up maximum points again against a Chelsea side who have lost two of the last three.
But I'll add extra juice to the match odds price by backing Maurizio Sarri's team to score in eventual defeat. City have only kept one clean sheet in the past five, conceding to the likes of Watford and Bournemouth, and Eden Hazard and co should have enough quality to hit the net at least once in this tea time cracker.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£98.40
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Joe Dyer +£28.50
2. Mike Norman +£18.50
3. Jasmine Baba -£50.30
4. Harry Phillips -£59.40
5. Dan Thomas -£98.40
Joe Dyer: Back Cardiff @ [2.98] v Southampton
Mike Norman: Back West Ham @ [2.32] to beat Crystal Palace
Jasmine Baba: Back Draw or Fulham in the Double Chance v Man Utd @ [3.7]
Harry Phillips: Back Burnley to beat Brighton @ [2.98]
Dan Thomas: Back Man City and BTTS v Chelsea at 23/10