The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 14
The Betting.Betfair editors are once again getting stuck into the Premier League action with a quintet of tenners being deployed on the following wagers...
"It's been 11 games without a win for Mark Hughes' sliding Saints (six draws in that sequence) and they enter this one without their best chance of a goal, Danny Ings ruled out with a hamstring injury."
Back champions to win with ease
Back Any Other Home Win @ [2.2] in Man City v Bournemouth
I really struggled to find a confident bet this weekend without going for an odds-on shot, so who better to put my faith in than the rampant champions Manchester City.
Pep Guardiola's men have won all of their league game at the Etihad Stadium this season and they've scored a very impressive 22 goals in their last five home matches, including six against Southampton and Shakhtar Donetsk and five against Burnley.
They also have a terrific record at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League, winning all three matches in recent seasons by scorelines of 4-0, 4-0, and 5-1. And it's probably fair to say that City are a better side now than at any time in recent years.
The Cherries deserve respect as they've improved every season since they were promoted to the Premier League, but they face a brilliant City side on Saturday on the back of three straight defeats, and it's impossible to envisage anything other than a fourth defeat in this encounter.
Man City are in great form, they're scoring goals for fun, and they face an out-of-form Bournemouth side who they've defeated by at least four goals in all three of their home league matches. Odds of [2.2] about that trend continuing appeals to me.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£38.50
United a value price to win again
Back Manchester United to beat Southampton @ [1.91]
Live on BT Sport 1
While this certainly isn't a vintage Manchester United side I'm surprised to see them at [1.91] to beat a woefully out-of-sorts Southampton.
It's been 11 games without a win for Mark Hughes' sliding Saints (six draws in that sequence) and they enter this one without their best chance of a goal, Danny Ings ruled out with a hamstring injury.
United, despite retaining a capacity to unexpectedly drop points (see last weekend's 0-0 v Crystal Palace), have nonetheless won four of their last six in all comps and there is the sense that talent and will to win is doggedly carrying them through.
In a game that may be settled by a solitary goal a fully fit midfield and attack is a major positive for United who should be able to put away at least one of the chances that come their way, and this has to be a game where Jose Mourinho is strongly targeting three points to stop his side falling any further away from the top four mix.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£23.10
Magpies to soar once again
Back Newcastle to beat West Ham @ [2.52]
I can't seem to keep hold of a winning bet, and it's especially grating me as I was one Everton goal away from getting something. Luckily it seems that the rest of the editors have the same problem, so lets just focus on this week.
Newcastle have turned it around recently, and have leapfrogged most of the bottom half of the table by claiming 10 points from their last four games. It hasn't just been mediocre opposition either, with two of their wins coming from Bournemouth (8th) and Watford (9th) at St James' Park, both teams proving tough to beat this season.
Talking about mediocre and St James' Park; West Ham have won just one of their last 14 Premier League visits there against Newcastle (D5 L8), the only victory coming in 2012. The Magpies currently have the form and record in their stride to take on this very hit-or-miss Hammers side and make it four wins on the bounce at [2.52].
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£30.30
Reds to stretch derby dominance
Back Liverpool to win both halves @ 12/5 v Everton
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
If ever there was a man who could get a team up for a rainy Tuesday at Stoke it would be Jurgen Klopp, so rallying the troops for Derby day will be a walk in the park. I see Liverpool coming out all guns blazing as they look to get one over on their Merseyside rivals.
Everton have been in good form as of late but they've not beaten any truly top-class opposition. I still have doubts on them as a team, with them much reliant on their Icelandic wizard, Gylfi Sigurdsson. Lock him out of the game and they're easy to handle.
Liverpool are a much more menacing all-round team, with the defence looking solid and the front three as imposing as ever. They'll want to send a message here and I see a comfortable victory with plenty of goals in both halves.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£39.40
Tight Merseyside derby in prospect
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Liverpool v Everton at [2.44]
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
After *finally* getting off the mark last weekend thanks to Fulham, I need to get another win under my belt and it's to the goals market at Anfield I go, with unders looking overpriced at [2.44].
Liverpool are big favourites to beat their neighbours, trading at just [1.43], but they looked off the pace at PSG in midweek and Everton will fancy their chances of frustrating the home side.
Marco Silva's men went to Chelsea with a gameplan to do just that on their last away trip, drawing 0-0 in the end, and if they can do something similar, it's hard to see Liverpool running riot.
The Reds only managed two against a struggling Fulham outfit last time out at Anfield, while the Toffees themselves could only score a solitary goal against lowly Cardiff. Add in that the last derby was goalless and it's all points to around 7/5 for two goals or fewer being a decent bet.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£102.80
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Mike Norman +£38.50
2. Joe Dyer +£23.10
3. Jasmine Baba -£30.30
4. Harry Phillips -£39.40
5. Dan Thomas -£102.80
Mike: Back Any Other Home Win @ [2.2] in Man City v Bournemouth
Joe: Back Manchester United to beat Southampton @ [1.91]
Jasmine: Back Newcastle to beat West Ham @ [2.52]
Harry: Back Liverpool to win both halves v Everton @ 12/5
Dan: Back Under 2.5 Goals in Liverpool v Everton at [2.44]