The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 13
The Premier League is back and so are the B.B editors with their Battle bets. Here's where their tenners are heading this week...
"As Dimitar Berbatov points out in his Betfair column this week, Ranieri will have worked hard this week on organisation and if they can stop leaking goals, Fulham have enough attacking talent to get them up the league."
Goals galore at Vicarage Road
Back Over 3.5 Goals @ [2.9] in Watford v Liverpool
This fixture finished 3-3 last season, and three of the last four meetings between Watford and Liverpool have witnessed, five, six, and seven goals. The other was a 1-0 Reds win but that still means that those four games have averaged just shy of five goals per game.
There's reason to expect another goal-fest this weekend too. Watford are having a fine season and have failed to score at Vicarage Road just once this term, averaging exactly two goals per game in their five other home matches. Liverpool are still unbeaten, still very much title contenders, and can be breathtaking on their day.
Mo Salah alone has scored five goals in his two appearances for Liverpool against Watford, and I just sense that this game will be highly entertaining. The Hornets will be confident of getting on the scoresheet and causing their opponents problems, while Jurgen Klopp's men will be desperate for the points as they try to keep tabs on Man City at the top of the table.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£48.50
Wolves to chase depleted Terriers out of town
Back Wolves -1 @ [2.5] v Huddersfield
I'm sliding down Mount Profit fast and I don't like it! From the heady peaks of £73.10 up I am edging close to base camp. I need a battle winner and I need one fast and I am heading to Molineux to claw a few quid back.
Huddersfield go to Wolves without two of their defensive rocks - Zanka and Chris Löwe - and there's no surprise to see Wolves well-backed in the match odds for this Sunday afternoon clash.
But a win price of [1.51] is too short for a battle bet so I'll take a chance on Wolves winning this by a decent margin. Nuno Espirito Santo's side are not heavy goalscorers but they have found a bit of an edge in recent weeks and should be able to score more than once against the Terriers' depleted backline.
I'm sure David Wagner will take a defensive approach to this one and that adds an element of danger to the bet but Watford ran out 3-0 winners in Huddersfield's last away fixture and at 6/4 I'm happy to take a chcnace on Wolves doing something similar.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£33.10
Everton to capitalise on Bluebirds' woes
Back Everton -1 v Cardiff @ 6/5
My trust in Liverpool and ridiculous over bets has ended after last week's 2-0 win for them over Fulham, so I'm going across to the blue side of Merseyside to pick a bet for Everton instead, and when they're facing lacklustre Cardiff, I'm picking a straightforward bet.
Truth to be told I was going to go for Everton and Over 2.5 at 11/10, as Cardiff have the second worst defence in the league (after Fulham), but the Toffees are missing Gylfi Sigurdsson which could affect their attacking prowess. In their 3-1 win against Brighton, he assisted Richarlison in the first goal and in their 3-0 victory over Fulham, he scored a brace.
Not only that, but we know the goals aren't likely come from the visitors; in the their five away matches they've only managed to hit the net twice, and both of those times they lost 4-1.
So why go for 11/10 for something that is less likely to happen, when you can get the slightly better odds at 6/5 for the Everton -1 handicap and not allow the probable 2-0 scoreline to ruin your bet.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£20.30
Leicester come bearing goals
Back Leicester to Win and Over 2.5 @ [4.5] against Brighton
Harry is away.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£29.40
Ranieri to open reign with victory
Back Fulham to beat Southampton at [2.72]
Things may have changed after he won the league with Leicester but I still get the impression that Claudio Ranieri is a tad underrated among English observers, probably because of his jovial image, and I think Fulham may well have pulled off a great coup in appointing him.
He kicks off with a relegation six-pointer against 17th-placed Southampton, with both teams having only picked up one win all season. While Mark Hughes' men were unfortunate not to beat Watford last time out - Charlie Austin has stronger words to describe the circumstances - they have been largely poor this campaign, and I'm banking on new manager bounce to help the Cottagers to three points.
As Dimitar Berbatov points out in his Betfair column this week, Ranieri will have worked hard this week on organisation and if they can stop leaking goals, Fulham have enough attacking talent to get them up the league. Hopefully that will start this weekend.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£120.00
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Mike Norman +£48.50
2. Joe Dyer +£33.10
3. Jasmine Baba -£20.30
4. Harry Phillips -£29.40
5. Dan Thomas -£120.00
Mike Norman: Back Over 3.5 Goals @ [2.9] in Watford v Liverpool
Joe Dyer: Back Wolves -1 @ [2.5] v Huddersfield
Jasmine Baba: Back Everton -1 v Cardiff @ 6/5
Harry Phillips: Back Leicester to Win and Over 2.5 @ [4.5] against Brighton
Dan Thomas: Back Fulham to beat Southampton at [2.72]