The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2018/19: Round 12
Mike Norman climbed above Joe in last week's battle to take the lead in this year's competition. Find out who our five are backing with their 12th selections of the season...
"Maurizio Sarri’s outfit have not been rock-solid at the back recently and it wouldn’t surprise were they to edge a bit of a shootout so I’ll take the 17/10 on a Chelsea win with both teams scoring."
Saints to suffer at St Mary's once more
Back Watford @ [3.15] to beat Southampton
Remarkably Southampton have won just one of their last 16 Premier League games at St Mary's but this isn't the only poor run of form they've had in recent seasons on home soil. A couple of seasons back Southampton found it very difficult to score in front of their own fans resulting in another long stretch of matches without too many wins.
The reality is that Mark Hughes' men just aren't a very good side, and although on paper they look to have enough quality to avoid relegation they just aren't performing to the best of their ability right now.
Watford are the visitors to St Mary's on Saturday and given they are eight places above Southampton in the table, have won five more games than them this term, and have a vastly superior goals scored tally, then I'm surprised they are as big as [3.15] to win.
Admittedly the Hornets lost at Newcastle last week - another side who struggle on home soil - but they really should have had that game won in the first 45 minutes. I'm happy to forgive them that defeat and back them to return to winning ways this weekend.
Mike Norman 2017-18 P/L: +£58.50
Blues and Blues to score in a win for the Blues
Back Chelsea win/Both teams to score double v Everton @ 17/10
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In most Premier League seasons 27 points from 11 games would have a team clear at the top but in 2018-19 it's only just enough to keep you in the top four.
Unbeaten in the league this season, Chelsea have won eight and drawn three from their 11 fixtures but still trail leaders City by two and have plenty of competition close around them in the chase for Champions League qualification spots.
The pressure is on to keep winning and the Blues should achieve that on Sunday, although visitors Everton will no doubt make it competitive.
Marco Silva's side have picked up a good head of steam in recent weeks, scoring in six straight games, winning four and only losing at Old Trafford where they gave United a thorough test.
Maurizio Sarri's outfit have not been rock-solid at the back recently and it wouldn't surprise were they to edge a bit of a shootout so I'll take the 17/10 on a Chelsea win with both teams scoring.
Joe Dyer 2017-18 P/L: +£43.10
Fulham in the firing line
Back Liverpool and Over 4.5 Goals against Fulham @ 8/5
Unfortunately and frustratingly, last week was a missed chance to put me back into a positive amount. Watford failed to capitalise and somehow gave Newcastle their first victory of the season.
So I return to my trusty stead of a bet, which is Liverpool at home, and it's paired with a newly-promoted side. The Reds' have won all eight home Premier League games under Jurgen Klopp against newbies, Opta tell us, scoring 25 goals and conceding just three. But this isn't just any newbie that Liverpool are facing, it's the team that have conceded the most goals this season so far.
Fulham are disastrously open, even allowing Cardiff to double their goals tally in their 4-2 defeat to the Bluebirds (from four goals to eight). I don't need to tell you that Liverpool are a better attacking side than Cardiff.
A fornight ago I said The Reds' had a point to prove in the league after a few draws and losses in other competitions and after their midweek defeat to Red Star Belgrade, they'll be wanting to bounce back yet again. So expect a drubbing of Fulham this weekend. The Liverpool to Win and Over 4.5 Goals bet at 8/5 is good enough for me.
Jasmine Baba 2017-18 P/L: -£10.30
Cherries a tasty price to clip Magpies' wings
Back Bournemouth to beat Newcastle at [2.64]
Manchester United really left it down to the wire last week for me, but a win's a win and my nails have just about recovered enough to type up this week's tip.
It's Bournemouth again for my selection this week, but this time I'm backing Eddie Howe's men go get the three points. The sixth placed Cherries may have struggled against top competition but they've dealt with teams in the lower half with aplomb - cruising past the likes of Fulham and Watford.
Newcastle, on the other hand, really are having a tough time of it. Rafa Benitez still hasn't cracked the code, they're three wins behind where they were at this point last year and I think they're going to struggle throughout the season.
The Cherries should have more than enough to power past the Magpies, even in front of the Toon Army faithful and [2.64] is a great price.
Harry Phillips 2017-18 P/L: -£19.40
Slow starting Gunners to leave it late again
Back Draw/Arsenal in the HT/FT market v Wolves
One of the most striking stats of the season so far is Arsenal's reliance on second half goals to get wins in the bag.
Unai Emery's men have been level pegging in a league-high nine of their 11 games at the break so far this season, going on to win seven of them.
They face a Wolves side who have been drawing at half-time in seven of their 11 games, but are on a three-game losing run.
So the 7/2 on Draw/Arsenal is enticing enough to attract my tenner this weekend.
Dan Thomas 2017-18 P/L: -£110.00
For individual match previews of every single Premier League game visit our dedicated Premier League section here on Betting.Betfair.
The Editors' 2018/19 P/L:
1. Mike Norman +£58.50
2. Joe Dyer +£43.10
3. Jasmine Baba -£10.30
4. Harry Phillips -£19.40
5. Dan Thomas -£110.00
Mike Norman: Back Watford @ [3.15] to beat Southampton
Joe Dyer: Back Chelsea win/Both teams to score double v Everton @ 17/10
Jasmine Baba: Back Liverpool and Over 4.5 Goals against Fulham @ 8/5
Harry Phillips: Back Bournemouth to beat Newcastle at [2.64]
Dan Thomas: Back Draw/Arsenal in the HT/FT market v Wolves