The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2013/14: Round 33

Can Vincent Kompany keep the scores low at the Emirates?
Can Vincent Kompany keep the scores low at the Emirates?
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Another change at the top of the standings after Joe Dyer found a terrific 3.3512/5 winning selection on Saturday. What will the response of Mike Norman, Dan Thomas, and Luke Moore be in round 33 of the Editros' Betting Battle...

"Sunderland really have to win this game to kickstart their bid for survival and I think they can build on the positive vibes from that Anfield performance with a win at a decent enough price on Monday night."

Back Sunderland to beat West Ham @ 2.3411/8 

Joe Dyer
Back Sunderland to beat West Ham @ 2.3411/8 
Monday, 20:00 
Live on Sky Sports 1

Time is running out for Sunderland to pick up the points they need if they are to retain their Premier League status and with some very tough games coming up, Monday night's set-to with West Ham is a must-win. 

I used that very same rationale in this competition a couple of weeks ago with the same team when Crystal Palace paid a visit to the Stadium of Light. It didn't work out, with the Londoners securing a point via a 0-0 draw. So, why am I going in again?! 

For starters, I think Sunderland are not quite as bad as the league position suggests, making the Capital One Cup final under Gus Poyet with some notable performances. Results since haven't been great, but there have been excuses for most and they gave the 1.171/6 Liverpool backers sweaty palms on Wednesday night, nearly pulling off an incredible comeback. 

On the same night a few hundred miles away in the capital, West Ham were booed off their own pitch after labouring to beat 10-man Hull City. These are uneasy times at Upton Park, with Sam Allardyce's men losing three games on the trot before that. Nevertheless, Wednesday's win means the Hammers are virtually safe now and it could be an opportune time to play the Londoners 

Sunderland really have to win this game to kickstart their bid for survival and I think they can build on the positive vibes from that Anfield performance with a win at a decent enough price on Monday night. 

Joe Dyer 2013-14 P/L: + £22.00

Mike Norman
Back Stoke to beat Hull @ 2.226/5
Saturday, 15:00

When you consider that both Swansea and West Brom - two clubs that are below Stoke in the table and have relatively poor home records - are strong odd-on favourites to win their respective matches this weekend, then it's a bit of a mystery why Mark Hughes' men are 2.226/5 at home to Hull City. I don't get that.

True, the Swans and the Baggies are playing Norwich and Cardiff respectively, but are Hull any greater than those two sides? And when you consider how good Stoke have been at the Britannia Stadium this season then I'm just amazed that the Potters are the price they are in relation to Swansea and West Brom.

For the record, Stoke are currently sixth in the Premier League 'home' table having lost just two games all season, and just once - to Liverpool - since September.

What's more, Hughes' men have lost just one of their last eight league games, a narrow loss to Man City, making them one of the form sides in the Premier League. They've won three of their last four games, scored seven goals in thier last two outings, and last week thrashed Aston Villa away from home. What's not to like?

Hull have lost no less than eight of their last 12 league games, they scored just two goals in those eight losses, and their only wins since the beginning of December have all came against clubs currently in the bottom six of the table.

Mike Norman 2013-14 P/L: - £9.40

Dan Thomas
Back Under 2.5 Goals in Arsenal v Man City at 2.285/4
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports 1

We're now in the business end of the season and I badly need a winner to stop Joe running into a big lead. It might be the pressure of a losing run, but it felt like a particularly trappy set of fixtures this weekend to pick a winner from. 

But that's the excuses out of the way! At first glance, City to win here at 2.1211/10 looked like the obvious bet with Pellegrini's men on a high after demolishing Man United at Old Trafford and Arsenal still reeling from the 6-0 defeat at Chelsea, but the Gunners have actually performed well against the big sides on home soil so a draw is a lively runner.

With the reverse fixture ending in an incredible 6-3 victory for City, you might think goals would be the bet but Arsenal have kept more clean sheets at home than any other Premier League team this season, including shutting out Liverpool, Man United, Chelsea and Tottenham, while City haven't conceded in five games.

The bet isn't without its risks - Arsenal are missing defensive talisman Laurent Koscielny for one - but 2.285/4 is a chunky enough price so it's where my £10 is heading this weekend.

Dan Thomas 2013-14 P/L: - £13.01

Luke Moore

Back Aston Villa to beat Manchester United at 8.88/1
Saturday, 12:45

After another narrow loss last week, I am again keeping my focus on big prices with a view to getting right back in the mix in this competition. I feel like my P/L is in a bit of a false position as I've been looking at bigger-priced bets only for a wee while now. And, as they say, every no brings you closer to a yes, so it won't be long before I nail a big one and find myself right up there.

This weekend I like Aston Villa's chances at the price. Manchester United's season has been fairly regularly punctuated by shocking results at home, and there's no reason Villa can't go there and win. The list of teams that have won at Old Trafford this season includes Swansea, Newcastle and West Brom, and with a pretty toxic atmosphere expected inside the stadium, Paul Lambert's men can do the business.

United's home record this season isn't that much better than Villa's away one, and although the visitors have tailed off recently on their travels, they sense blood. And so do I. 

Luke Moore 2013-14 P/L: - £138.30

A £10 bet is placed on each selection on Betfair's Exchange. Profits are calculated before commission.

Season P/L

1. Joe Dyer: + £22.00
2. Mike Norman: - £9.40
3. Dan Thomas: - £13.01
4. Luke Moore: - £138.30

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