It's been a decent few weeks for this column with a profitable return in each of the last four rounds of Championship fixtures. Placing £10 on every selection (£20 on a best bet) this season is so far showing a profit of £124 (less commission).
And as the busy Christmas period looms our pre-season picks Middlesbrough are right in the thick of the promotion hunt. Though the less said about Birmingham the better!
Blackpool 2.1211/10 v Blackburn 3.814/5; The Draw 3.65
Blackpool are still unbeaten under new boss Michael Appleton; Blackburn are a worse outfit under Henning Berg (just one win in eight games, that coming against bottom club Peterborough) than they were under former boss Steve Kean (four wins and just one defeat in the seven games that he oversaw this season).
That in a nutshell is the angle in to this game, and it makes the Tangerines a cracking price to beat their Lancashire rivals on Saturday afternoon. Ok, five of Appleton's six games in charge have ended in a draw, but crucially Blackpool are proving difficult to beat and they are scoring goals.
Rovers are in dreadful form to be honest and look like a side completely lacking in belief and direction. It's not even worth thinking what sort of trouble they'd be in if they didn't have Jordan Rhodes. Blackpool are always good for a few goals at Bloomfield Road, and that should be enough to secure all three points.
Recommended Bet: Back Blackpool to win @ 2.1211/10 (Best Bet)
Bolton 2.01/1 v Charlton 4.216/5; The Draw 3.711/4
I have a feeling that this will be Saturday's 'goals' game. I can see either side winning, and when you get a game like that - wide open on paper - then it usually results in goals being scored.
Bolton are yet to catch fire under new boss Dougie Freedman, though just one defeat in eight games is a definite sign of progress. Unfortunately, five of those games have ended in a draw with the Trotters' inability to keep a clean sheet being the crux of their problems. For the record, they have recorded just one shut-out in their last 20 league and cup encounters.
In contrast, Charlton are in excellent form right now. Since losing to Middlesbrough at the beginning of November Chris Powell's men are unbeaten, taking 15 points from a possible 21 available. They've averaged almost two goals scored per game in this time.
Bolton will see this as a winnable game as they try to enter the Christmas period with some momentum; the Addicks will fight to keep their unbeaten run intact. It promises to be a highly entertaining encounter with plenty of goals.
Recommended Bet: Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.211/5
Leeds 2.226/5 v Ipswich 3.55/2; The Draw 3.711/4
Leeds are very much Jekyll and Hyde at the moment. Three straight defeats, including a 6-1 mauling at home to Watford, were followed by three straight wins, two of those being against clubs occupying a top-six position in the table. Neil Warnock's men then suffered another heavy defeat at the hands of mid-table Derby last weekend.
So perhaps the lower down the table the opposition are, the more vulnerable Leeds are right now. So in theory, fast improving Ipswich - who sit 20th in the table - should be up to the task when they arrive at Elland Road on Saturday.
But I'm not convinced. Even in the last month the Tractor Boys have suffered 5-0 and 6-0 defeats, and for me they struggle when they are put under the cosh from the outset, and especially when they concede early. Leeds are a side who really get at you from the off, so if they can assert themselves and get an early goal I can see them running out comfortable winners.
Recommended Bet: Back Leeds to win @ 2.226/5