Nottm Forest 1.9210/11 v Sheff Wed 4.57/2; The Draw 3.65
The wheels have completely fallen off Nottingham Forest, and now set to face a relatively in-form side on Tuesday night I can't have them one bit at odds-on to win this game.
Thirteen games unbeaten from early December through to mid-February, Forest were almost certain to make the Championship play-offs and if anything, challenge for automatic promotion. But Billy Davies' side was suddenly hit with a plethora of injuries, results went badly wrong, and the manager was sacked.
Forest's home loss to Millwall on Saturday took the club's tally of games without a win to 11 (including a FA Cup defeat to Sheffield United), and their last two outings at the City Ground have resulted in losses to relegation-threatened Charlton and Millwall. Prior to that they failed to beat Doncaster, another of the division's strugglers, and also lost away to bottom side Barnsley.
The Owls are on target for a top half finish after winning five of their last 10 league games, and nine in total in 2014. Stuart Gray's men went seven away games without defeat up to the beginning of March, and although they have been slightly disappointing of late on their travels they did put in a spirited performance at Premier League-bound Leicester on Friday night.
The reality is though that Sheff Wed arrive in Nottingham in better form than both Charlton and Millwall did before they triumphed over Forest, and the home side are sinking like a ship right now and have no form whatsoever to merit them being odds-on here.
Recommended Bet: Back Sheff Wed to Win @ 4.57/2 (best bet)
Middlesbrough 1.9420/21 v Birmingham 4.57/2; The Draw 3.613/5
This is a real tough one for me as I'm a Middlesbrough fan, but how can we desert Birmingham when I've repeatedly gone on about their contrasting fortunes between home and away form?
Apologies for sounding like a broken record, but as I said on Saturday, and the week before, and the week before etc... one of the best ways to profit in this division at present is to simply lay Birmingham when they play at home and back them when they play away.
Lee Clark's men have failed to win any of their last 15 league games at St Andrews and sit rock bottom of the Championship table on home form alone. Yet away from home they are fifth in the table having won eight of their last 14 at odds of 3.02/1 or better each time. Backing Brum on their travels is a no-brainer!
Middlesbrough have just recorded excellent back-to-back wins against Brighton and Derby, two clubs right in the hunt for a play-off place. So that's the reason why yet again we are getting a great price for a Birmingham win.
On paper, and perhaps on current 'overall' form, Boro are undoubtedly the most likely winners, but they've scored just nine league goals in their last 14 games and I expect this to be a low-scoring game that can be pinched by either side.
So the fact that we're getting odds of 4.57/2 about one of the best away teams in the Championship swings it in Birmingham's favour. Just don't expect me to be too delighted if I'm proved correct.
Recommended Bet: Back Birmingham to Win @ 4.57/2
Wigan 1.618/13 v Millwall 6.86/1; The Draw 4.216/5
Wigan have been in great form under Uwe Rosler and I expect them to brush aside Millwall with the minimum of fuss.
The Latics have won 10 of their last 14 league and cup games, including that famous win over Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium, and they are arguably the team with the momentum going into the play-offs.
They'll want to maintain that momentum for the promotion push ahead and also for this weekend's FA Cup semi-final against Arsenal. Nothing breeds confidence more than winning.
Millwall's last two victories have been achieved on the road, both against clubs challenging for a play-off slot, so caution is definitely advised. But in recent weeks the Lions have also lost away to out-of-form sides like Leeds, Blackpool, and Barnsley and it's this form that best represents their ability.
Wigan have led at half time in six of their last eight league wins, and providing you fancy them to record an easy victory, then backing them to lead at the interval here is advised.
Recommended Bet: Back Wigan HT/Wigan FT @ 2.47/5