The Championship Midweek Previews: Double your money on Leeds

Mike Norman
22 October 2012

Neil Warnock's Leeds look a good bet on Tuesday night

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Mike Norman previews some of Tuesday's Championship fixtures and recommends three wagers for you to consider...

"I fully expected to see the home side at odds-on to win this game, and therefore I make Leeds my best bet of the evening."

Back Leeds to win @ 2.01/1

Leeds 2.01/1 v Charlton 4.216/5; The Draw 3.711/4

I've been regularly surprised this season with the odds on offer about some clubs winning their matches, and Leeds to win this game is another one that catches the eye.

Neil Warnock's men are unbeaten in six league and cup games, a run that includes three consecutive wins at Elland Road; Charlton are 18th in the table after recording just two wins in their last nine games. I fully expected to see the home side at odds-on to win this game, and therefore I make Leeds my best bet of the evening.

One thing that is guaranteed from this Leeds side is goals. Warnock's men have found the net at least once in all 14 league and cup games they've contested this term; in fact they've averaged exactly two goals scored per game. Michael Brown and Michael Tonge provide real quality in midfield, whist in the form of El Hadji Diouf and Luciano Becchio they have two excellent goalscorers for this level.

I'm quite fond of Charlton; they ran away with the League One title last season and you don't lose that ability overnight. They seem to be taking their time to settle at this higher level but they'll be ok in time. Saturday's home loss to Barnsley was disappointing however and I don't see them being good enough to take anything from this encounter.

Recommended Bet: Back Leeds to win @ 2.01/1 (Best Bet)

Leicester 1.9520/21 v Brighton 4.67/2; The Draw 3.711/4

We successfully opposed Brighton on Saturday, and although we won't get anywhere near the 5.24/1 that Middlesbrough were to beat the Seagulls, I still believe the odds on Leicester to win this encounter are worth chancing.

I'm still not fully convinced that the Foxes are the real deal, but they are the form side in the Championship right now with 16 points taken from the last 18 available to them. Nigel Pearson's men sit top of the table, and on Tuesday night will host previous early pacesetters Brighton who have now fallen to eighth after a run of four games without a win, scoring just one goal in that time.

I'll always maintain that opposing out-of-form sides is a better angle in than backing in-form sides but this game pits together both cases. I'll stick with a home win then, but an equally attractive wager is the Under 2.5 Goals option at 1.855/6. Leicester score few and concede even less, whilst Brighton can't find the net for love or money at present.

Recommended Bet: Back Leicester to win @ 1.9520/21

Wolves 2.35/4 v Bolton 3.55/2; The Draw 3.55/2

It's no surprise to see that just six points separate the top 13 clubs in this division, though that fact indicates what I've been saying for the last month or so, that this year's Championship is easily the most open it's been for a long time and literally any one of about 12 clubs (if not more) are capable of being promoted.

Two of those clubs meet on Tuesday night though I have no opinion in terms of the match outcome. The markets I'm most interested in are the Goals markets, and in particular the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market.

When these two sides met at Molineux last term - albeit in the Premier League - the result was a 2-3 victory to Bolton. The season before it was the same, a 2-3 win for the Trotters. In fact, the last four meetings between these two at the home of Wolves have averaged exactly four goals per game with both sides netting on each occasion.

Both these clubs have been involved in some high-scoring games already this season, especially Bolton whose last 10 games paid out on Over 2.5 Goals nine times, Over 3.5 Goals four times, and Over 4.5 Goals last time out. I'd be amazed if we don't get goals in this encounter; fingers crossed there'll be at least four.

Recommended Bet: Back Over 3.5 Goals @ 3.185/40

Season P/L (1pt each bet, 2pts Best Bet)

Wagered: 40 pts
Returned: 48.64 pts
P/L + 8.64 pts

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