Saturday Championship Tips: Lions to pounce on rudderless Villains
James Buttler is going with Millwall, Sheffield United and West Brom to boost his betting balance this Saturday...
"Millwall are not a sure thing. A quick glance at their league form doesn't have you lumping on regardless, but I was impressed by the fight they showed in coming from 2-0 down against Notts Forest to earn a draw on Wednesday. Season's have been defined by such results."
Managerless Villa prey in Lions' Den
Millwall [3.0] v Aston Villa [2.62]; The Draw [3.4]
Managerless Villa travel to London on Saturday and we all know these kind of matches can go one of two ways. Either Villa are freed up and firing or they are rudderless and vulnerable. I believe the departure of Steve Bruce will make things difficult for the Villains in the short term. The price on Millwall of [3.0] is therefore my best bet this weekend.
Now, I know that Millwall are not a sure thing and quick glance at their league form doesn't have you lumping on, but I was impressed by the fight they showed in coming from 2-0 down against Notts Forest to earn a draw on Wednesday. Season's have been defined by such results.
Under fire Millwall boss, Neil Harris, said after that draw: "Our luck has to turn eventually and that equaliser at the end felt like a turning point. It was a point gained, that is for sure and it will give us belief moving forward."
For Villa, just two points from the last nine has seen Bruce handed his P45 and stabilty won't be guaranteed until a new man is at the helm. I can't back a side that is floundering as Villa are and for me a speculative punt on Millwall to do the business in Saturday is the way forward.
Saturday success may not save Harris this season, but their price is too good to ignore.
Blades are firing as Stoke begin to find feet
Sheff Utd [1.62] v Hull [6.4]; The Draw [4.2]
I could write for hours about Sheffield United's three wins on the bounce, that they have scored eight goals in three games and Chris Wilder has led them back level on points at the top of the Championship table.
I could then add another six paragraphs about how Hull City are a dreadful side that have take just one point from the last 12 available and how I wouldn't buy a ticket for my worst enemy to watch them play. Hull have been losing at both half time and full time in their last three away matches and have conceded at least two goals in their last four away games.
Sheffield United will finish this season in the top six and Hull City will be playing League One football next season. The Blades win this game and in some style.
While I do give credence to head-to-head stats, and the Blades have won just one of their last six fixtures with Hull, this game is chalk against cheese and Sheffield Utd to Win and Over 2.5 Goals on the sportsbook is the way to eek out a bit more value.
Baggies and goals at The Hawthornes
West Brom [1.56] v Reading [7.0]; The Draw [4.4]
Sometimes your stock rises as a player when you are sidelined. Reading's current injury list is long, but I'd argue there is little incentives for the sick to find health this week. Stay in the physio's room and avoid a West Brom hammering would be my advice.
West Brom are also showing fight. 2-0 down against Sheffield Wednesday mid-week, they secured a 2-2 draw with goals in the 85th and 87th minute. Allied to that their home form has seen them notch 15 goals and four successive wins, you can never back against Darren Moore's side.
West Brom are also undefeated in their last five home matches against Reading in all competitions.
Away from home Reading have been unbeaten in their last four matches (1W, 3D), and they have score in each of those games so Both Teams To Score is a play, but I cannot be urged away from a home win.
A 1-0 home defeat to QPR leaves Paul Clement desperately seeking answers to keep his job and an away trip to face the Baggies could see the end of him.
West Brom win this match and I'm taking them to win and Over 3.5 goals (sportsbook) in the game to push the price out to something quite juicy.
*You can follow James on Twitter - @football_badger
Staked: 44 pts
Returned: 40.90 pts
P/L: -3.10 pts
*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet
Back Millwall to beat Aston Villa @ [3.0] (Best bet)
Back Sheffield Utd to Win and Over 2.5 Match Goals v Hull @ 6/4 (Sportsbook)
Back West Brom to Win and Over 3.5 Match Goals v Reading @ 11/4 (Sportsbook)