Derby v Burnley
Monday 21 September
Live on Sky Sports 5
Despite a slow start, the determination to win promotion this season at the iPro Stadium was illustrated as they splashed out £10m on new midfielders Bradley Johnson and Jacob Butterfield on transfer deadline day. Manager Paul Clement insists they haven't played badly this season and two away wins in a week suggest things are starting to come together - the international break certainly came at the right time for the Rams.
Star striker Chris Martin is back in form, netting both goals in the win at Preston last week, while Tom Ince has struggled this season but scored the winner against 10-man Reading on Tuesday night. County have enjoyed the bulk of possession in most of their games this season - particularly at home - and made more passes than any other Championship side but need to find a way of breaking sides down and creating more clear-cut chances.
Midfielder George Thorne could return after missing those two wins with a calf injury but skipper Chris Baird is not yet ready to return from a head injury sustained at Preston.
Sean Dyche's side seem to have found their feet at this level after four consecutive wins under their belt coming into this clash. They were made to work by Sheffield Wednesday last Saturday but two late goals, including a first from big-money signing Andre Gray, gave them a 3-1 win then Welsh international Sam Vokes was on target as they beat MK Dons 2-1 in midweek.
Away from home this season they've won at Bristol City, lost at Ipswich and were held to a draw by Leeds on the opening day of the season. Though he is set to name an unchanged side for the fourth game in a row, Dyche will have to decide whether to include new signing Joey Barton in his squad - on a purely footballing basis he should be a very useful addition to their squad at this level.
The home side are no bigger than 2.1411/10 to win this and that's too short for my money - remember, they have won just once in front of their own fans since February, beating already-relegated Blackpool in April. This season they've come from behind to draw 1-1 with both Middlesbrough and Charlton and then lost late on against Leeds in front of the TV cameras in their last home game.
The Clarets, a Premier League outfit last season of course, can be backed at 3.7511/4 and that has to be where the value lies in this market, with the draw priced at 3.412/5. With both sides now on winning runs this looks a tricky game to call and I'd recommend keeping stakes sensible but the visitors are the side I want to have on my side as I settle down to watch this one.
Both Teams to Score
A safer bet looks to be backing both teams to score at 1.8910/11, which is a couple of ticks bigger than I'd expected to find it. The Rams have found the net in every game this season since the opening day goalless draw at Bolton and have an enviable range of attacking options with Martin, Darren Bent and Andreas Weimann as well as the likes of Johnny Russell.
Burnley have also only failed to find the net in one of their seven league games this campaign and would expect to find the net here, given they have Vokes and Gray as a very potent new-look strike force with the quality of George Boyd and Michael Kightly to provide the ammunition for them as well as being very capable chipping in with goals of their own.
And if you wanted, you could combine the two bets into one over at the Sportsbook by backing Burnley in the Match Odds/Both teams to score market at a juicy 6.511/2.
Back both teams to score at 1.8910/11 *best bet
Back Burnley to win at 3.7511/4
You can read my previews of all the live Championship games here along with Mike Norman's Saturday 3pm tipsheets