Brighton v Yeovil
Friday April 25, 19:45
Live on Sky Sports One
Brighton
Monday's disappointing draw at home to lowly Blackpool was a big blow and allowed Reading to nip back above them into that all-important sixth spot. Having taken the lead Oscar Garcia can't have been happy to see his side concede just a couple of minutes later and they were unable to force the winner late on.
Their final game of the season is away to Nottingham Forest who have rediscovered their own play-off hopes late on so nothing less than an emphatic victory will do here.
The Seagulls' home form has been mixed recently - wins over QPR and Charlton as well as defeats at the hands of Middlesbrough and Ipswich. They have scored less goals in front of their own fans than any side in the top half and have found things easier away from home at times this season.
Yeovil
The defeat at home to Huddersfield all but consigned the Glovers to relegation back to League One after just the one season in the Championship. How they will respond here is the question we have to try and figure out. With nothing to lose they may come out and play with a sense of freedom and pose their hosts a few problems.
However, they probably lack any real attacking weapons to do so - any hopes of survival realistically ended when on-loan striker Ishmael Miller returned to Nottingham Forest after a bust-up with Johnson at the start of this month.
Away from home, the Glovers have managed just the four wins all season. Three of those have come at fellow strugglers (Millwall, Birmingham and Blackpool) - which suggests they don't have the ability to trouble the better sides on their own patches. That said, they have scored in four of the last five away games so could make a match of it here.
Half Time/Full Time
You would expect the home side to come out all guns blazing here. They are priced at 1.444/9 in the match odds market which is probably fair enough but I always like to look for something closer to evens. Backing the Seagulls to be leading at both half time and full time at 2.1411/10 is more tempting and that's the recommended play here.
Cash Out Opportunity
We don't know how Yeovil will approach this game but there's obviously a chance they could fall apart as a long season takes its toll and the reality sets in they have been relegated. With Brighton needing an emphatic win we could see the shackles come off if they get an early goal or two. Backing any unquoted in the correct score market would allow us to cash out for a guaranteed profit if this does happen.
Recommended Bet
Back Brighton/Brighton in the Half Time/Full Time market at 2.1411/10
Cash Out Tip
Back any unquoted in the correct score market at 5.79/2