Saturday Championship 3pm Kick-Offs: Derby to keep up good away form

Strong travellers Derby look a decent bet to win at Barnsley on Saturday
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Teams winning on the road has been a regular occurrence this season in the Championship, and Mike Norman is jumping on the bandwagon with a trio of away selections from Saturday's 3pm action...

"Gary Rowett's men are now unbeaten in six games on their travels, a run that included excellent back-to-back wins at Norwich and Leeds, and they go to Oakwell on the back of thrashing Middlesbrough away from home a fortnight ago."

Back Derby @ [2.26] to beat Barnsley

Barnsley [3.75] v Derby [2.26]; The Draw [3.4]

A very interesting aspect to this season's Championship so far has been the number of teams that have been playing equally well, if not better, away from home than they have in front of their own fans.

The likes of highflying Bristol City, and some big-name clubs like Leeds, Fulham, Norwich, Sunderland and Reading have accumulated more points (or the same in Leeds' case) on their travels than they have on home soil, while league leaders Wolves have lost just twice on the road, and both Derby and Hull have lost fewer away games than they have at home.

It's no surprise then that most of our winners in this column have come when backing an away win, and I see no reason to change that strategy just yet.

Derby have lost jut two of their 10 away games this term, and those defeats were at promotion-chasing Sheffield United and Bristol City, so no shame there whatsoever.

Gary Rowett's men are now unbeaten in six games on their travels, a run that included excellent back-to-back wins at Norwich and Leeds, and they go to Oakwell on the back of thrashing Middlesbrough away from home a fortnight ago.

Barnsley have won just three of their home games this season - two coming against clubs currently in the relegation zone - and they are currently on a run of four consecutive Championship defeats, scoring just one goal in the process. Derby look a good bet for another away win.

Recommended Bet
Back Derby to Win @ [2.26] (best bet)

Hull [3.2] v Brentford [2.4]; The Draw [3.6]

Like Barnsley, Hull have won just three of their 10 league home games this term, losing five and drawing the other two.

The Tigers have won once away from home too, so it's understandable that after just four wins in 20 league games, and currently on a run of seven games without a win, that Russian manager Leonid Slutsky was giving his marching orders.

Former Southampton boss Nigel Adkins is the new man in charge at the KCOM Stadium and he starts his tenure with a home game against one of the Championship's most in-form teams in recent months.

After an extremely slow start to the campaign - in which they won none of their first eight league matches - Brentford have lost just one of their last 12 Championship games, and that came at title-chasing Cardiff who remain unbeaten on home soil.

Ignoring that Cardiff defeat Dean Smith's men have scored at least two goals - and 12 in total - in five away games since they got their first league win of the season at Bolton in late September. The Bees also scored three at Wimbledon and four at QPR in two EFL Cup away games, so this is certainly not a team that lacks for goals on their travels.

You sense then that the three points are there for the taking for Brentford against a team that hasn't kept a clean sheet in front of their own fans since August, and one that conceded an alarming 11 goals in their last four home matches.

Recommended Bet
Back Brentford to Win @ [2.4]

Middlesbrough [1.75] v Ipswich [5.4]; The Draw [3.8]

It's impossible to make a good case for Middlesbrough at an odds-on price given their current form and the growing discontent amongst a huge number of their fans.

Even when winning, the Teesside outfit have looked deeply unimpressive at times, but in recent weeks some of Boro's performances have been that of a team that just don't look like they are playing for each other or their manager, and that the constant changing of formation and personnel is hurting them badly.

I think Garry Monk is extremely fortunate to have a chairman that remains loyal to his managers, but even Steve Gibson's patience must be wearing thin after giving Monk more than £40m to spend in the summer and saying he wanted Boro to 'smash the league'.

A home defeat on Saturday will surely spell the beginning of the end for Monk, and at the prices, I have to wager that's exactly what Boro will suffer.

Monk's men had already lost in recent months at home to Norwich and Cardiff without scoring a goal before a horror show against Derby the last time they played at the Riverside, and those defeats, in addition to some lifeless and hugely disappointing defeats on TV away to Leeds and Bristol City mean that Boro have to be taken on again.

Ipswich are the visitors to the Riverside Stadium on Saturday, and Mick McCarthy's men are in decent form having suffered just one defeat - that being at in-form Villa - in their last six matches. They recorded a terrific win at Derby on their last away trip, and last week they put four past Nottm Forest to move one place behind the play-off places.

Boro's confidence is fragile at the moment, and only a good home win is likely to buy Monk more time. I doubt very much that's what he'll get, and at [5.4] the Tractor Boys have to be backed.

Recommended Bet
Back Ipswich to Win @ [5.4]


*You can follow me on Twitter - @MikkyMo73

Championship 2017/18 Season P/L

Staked: 64 pts
Returned: 59.78 pts
P/L: -4.22 pts

*based on 1pt each bet, 2pts best bet

- 2016/17 P/L = +7.56 pts from 163 pts stakes
- 2015/16 P/L = -3.46 pts from 156 pts staked
- 2014/15 P/L = +21.78 pts from 164 pts staked

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