Real Madrid v Sevilla: Goal deluge to compensate for absent stars

Yevhen Konoplyanka is one of the few Sevilla protagonists yet to flee this summer
Yevhen Konoplyanka is one of the few Sevilla protagonists yet to flee this summer
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There are a lot of big names missing this year's Super Cup, but that shouldn't stop four or more goals from being scored...

"Sevilla charged back from 4-1 down against Barcelona last term only to finally be beaten 5-4 in extra time."

Recommended Bet: Back over 3.5 goals @ 2.727/4

Real Madrid 1.9210/11 v Sevilla 4.57/2; The Draw 3.8514/5
Tuesday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2


Real Madrid

It has been a pretty uneventful summer thus far at Real Madrid, which has to register as a slight surprise given that it is Zinedine Zidane's first in charge and you might therefore have expected a reasonably high turnover of players.

Instead, the most notable action has been the return of one academy graduate, with Alvaro Morata bought back from Juventus, as another, Jese Rodriguez, was sold to Paris St-Germain. The 11-time European champions even resisted the temptation to engage in a bidding war for Paul Pogba.

Their pre-season form was decent, with an early defeat to the French title winners in the International Champions Cup recovered from well with victories over Chelsea and Bayern Munich.

They are at far from full strength though, with their first choice front three potentially all absent due to injury to Cristiano Ronaldo, Karim Benzema being a doubt and Gareth Bale not yet being back in the fold after a post-Euro 2016 break. Keylor Navas, Pepe, Fabio Coentrao and Toni Kroos are also missing.


Sevilla

If it has been an unusually sedate few months for Real Madrid, the opposite has been true for Sevilla.

The perma-Europa League winners are used to having their top performers taken in the aftermath and rebuilding, but this was the most dramatic instance yet as coach Unai Emery was snared by PSG and replaced by popular former Chile boss Jorge Sampaoli.

Polish midfielder Grzegorz Krychowiak joined Emery in Paris, Ever Banega went to Inter, Europa League final man-of-the- match and brace-bagger Coke headed for Schalke and fellow scorer Kevin Gameiro signed for Atletico Madrid.

There were at least some intriguing additions to compensate for the exodus, especially in advanced positions, including Franco Vazquez, Ganso, Wissam Ben Yedder and Luciano Vietto and those guys are all likely to be available in Norway. Benoit Tremoulinas and Michael Krohn-Dehli are not.


Match Odds

The third successive all-Spanish Super Cup promises to be a slightly strange affair with so many of the protagonists of May's Champions League and Europa League finals either no longer with those clubs or not participating, but Real Madrid's favouritism does appear justified.

Not only do they give the impression of having Sevilla sussed, prevailing in four of their five meetings over the past two seasons and scoring 13 times in the process, with the latest triumph the fiercest yet at 4-0, they treat this competition seriously, winning their last two entries by two-goal margins.

Sevilla by contrast have the joint-worst record in Super Cup history, losing two more (three) than they have (one), including the two in the summers of 2014 and 2015 against Spanish superiors Real and Barcelona. Those failures have contributed to the Champions League winners taking the trophy three years in a row.


Over 3.5 Goals

These teams didn't really do their stage justice when they clashed in the 2014 Super Cup, with a Ronaldo double enough to separate the pair.

The editions featuring Spanish protagonists each side of that were a lot livelier, with Atletico Madrid stunning Chelsea 4-1 in 2012 and Sevilla charging back from 4-1 down against Barcelona last term only to finally be beaten 5-4 in extra time.

The four collisions between these two since that 2014 showpiece have been far more in keeping with the latter tradition, with each one exceeding 2.5 goals and the latter three topping 3.5 too.


Recommended Bet: Back over 3.5 goals @ 2.727/4


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