Champions League Tips: Roma to concede as Monaco beat Villarreal

Roma's form has improved markedly since Luciano Spalletti returned to the club in January
Roma's form has improved markedly since Luciano Spalletti returned to the club in January
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After five winners from six in last week's Champions League tipsheets, Michael Lintorn assesses Legia Warsaw v Dundalk, Monaco v Villarreal and Roma v Porto...

"Roma have managed a single clean sheet in 11 Champions League encounters at the Stadio Olimpico."

Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score in Roma v Porto @ 1.834/5

All matches kick-off on Tuesday at 19:45

Legia Warsaw 1.444/9 v Dundalk 9.28/1; The Draw 4.94/1
Live on BT Sport 3

A 2-0 home defeat might seem like a chastening result for Dundalk as they bid to become the first Irish side to reach the Champions League group stage, and it leaves that aspiration unlikely to be fulfilled, but the result wasn't as severe as it sounds. Stephen Kenny's men were level until the 56th minute and it took a penalty to break their resolve, with the second spill coming deep in injury time.

Under 2.5 goals paid out for this column at 1.69 in the first leg and looks to be worth pursuing again at 2.01/1 in the Polish capital. It has been a winner in four of the visitors' last six Champions League assignments, as well as all five of Legia's this term with the two in Warsaw serving up just two it total.

Recommended Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 2.01/1

Monaco 2.466/4 v Villarreal 3.259/4; The Draw 3.412/5
Live on BT Sport Extra 2

Spanish clubs exiting Europe to teams from other countries is almost unheard of. In 2015/16, Real Madrid and Sevilla lifted the trophies, Atletico Madrid were stopped by Real, Barcelona by Atletico, Valencia by Athletic Bilbao and Athletic by Sevilla. Only Villarreal were denied by foreign foes (Liverpool) and they look like replicating the feat in their first continental clash of the new season.

All the momentum that they generated by returning to La Liga with three top-six finishes, the latest in fourth, has been surrendered not so much by the loss of Eric Bailly to Manchester United or Denis Suarez to Barcelona, but by sacking the coach who oversaw the ascent, Marcelino, due to differences with the board.

They were turned over at home by Monaco days later in the first leg. The Ligue 1 side have won three successive Champions League games in front of their fans - one against Valencia this time last year after Los Che came fourth - and the Yellow Submarine have lost five in a row on the road in this competition, so a repeat of that outcome appears probable.

Recommended Bet: Back Monaco to win @ 2.466/4

Roma 1.814/5 v Porto 5.24/1; The Draw 3.9
Live on BT Sport ESPN

Roma's favouritism is justified by their excellent Serie A form, going 18 matches unbeaten dating back to late January and winning the most recent six, with Napoli and AC Milan among the victims.

However, there are a number of niggling concerns in the shape of Porto's Champions League savvy and bright start to the season, their own poor record in the competition as hosts (one victory in six) and the fact that five of the past six Serie A participants in this play-off round were eliminated.

Both teams to score is perhaps the best way to bet, with the Giallorossi managing a single clean sheet in 11 Champions League encounters at the Stadio Olimpico, but not firing a blank in a dozen outings across all venues and tournaments.

Recommended Bet: Back both teams to score @ 1.834/5

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