Two European heavyweights clash when Roma host Atletico and Dan Fitch is expecting goals to be at a premium.
"Five of Atletico’s six group games last season saw less than three goals."
Roma [3.0] v Atletico Madrid [2.76]; The Draw [3.2]
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Roma will take time to adjust without lost talents
While a lot of eyes will be on the highly-anticipated clash between Barcelona and Juventus, this meeting between two other leading teams from Serie A and La Liga is fascinating in its own right.
Roma have only played two competitive games this season, beating Atalanta on the opening day, before losing at home to Inter Milan. They have a new manager in Eusebio Di Francesco and look set for a period of rebuilding, having lost Antonio Rudiger and Mohamed Salah to Premier League vultures, while the talismanic Francesco Totti retired.
Atletico could have suffered a similar fate as Antoine Griezmann attracted the attention of rival clubs, but their own transfer ban has had the benefit of helping them to keep their star players.
This is Atletico's fourth successive away game, as they await the opening of their new stadium. So far they have emerged from this run unbeaten, winning one of their Primera Division games and drawing two.
Atletico can be relied upon to keep things tight
Continuity could be key for Atletico when they travel to a Roma team still adjusting to the loss of key players.
Last season Atletico only lost one of their group games and that was away to Bayern Munich. As such they look a big price and the odds of [1.86] in the Draw No Bet market are worth considering.
What looks a slightly safer bet, however, is for Under 2.5 Goals at [1.68]. Five of Atletico's six group games last season saw less than three goals.
Back under 2.5 goals between Roma and Atletico Madrid @ [1.68]
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Dan Fitch 2017/18 Season P/L
Staked: 48 pts
Returned: 42.52 pts
P/L: -5.48 pts