PSG are only third in Group C after three games and Dan Fitch thinks Napoli can strike another blow on Tuesday night...
"PSG have only taken one point from a possible six in their matches against Napoli and Liverpool."
Napoli [3.05] v PSG [2.4]; The Draw [3.85]
Tuesday 6 November, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 3
PSG dare not lose
Big spending PSG are in danger of missing out on making the knockout stages of the Champions League, with the French title holders currently third in the highly competitive Group C.
PSG twice had to fight back from being behind to earn a 2-2 draw at home to Napoli. It leaves Thomas Tuchel's team in a position where they dare not lose this reverse fixture.
They are unbeaten in nine (W8 D1), but have struggled on both occasions that they've stepped up in class in the Champions League. As well as dropping points at home to Napoli, the Parisians lost in their sole away match to Liverpool.
After being held to a disappointing draw to Red Star in their opening Champions League match, Napoli have bounced back in fine fashion, beating Liverpool and then coming very close to defeating PSG, before conceding a 90th minute equaliser. They beat Empoli 5-1 at the weekend to extend their unbeaten run to six games (W4 D2).
Napoli a big price to continue fine form
Considering how the respective results have panned out so far, Napoli look seriously underrated in this encounter.
PSG have always suffered from the lack of competition that Ligue 1 provides when they face other top European teams in the Champions League. On this occasion they have been unfortunate enough to be drawn against two of Europe's top sides in Liverpool and Napoli in the group stage.
With PSG having only taken one point from a possible six in their matches against these teams, the odds of [1.7] for Napoli to avoid defeat in the Double Chance market looks like decent value.
Dan Fitch 2018/19 Season P/L
Staked: 185.00 pts
Returned: 203.90 pts
P/L: +18.90 pts