Lyon are on the road to recovery, but Dan Fitch thinks that Benfica could be too big a challenge, too soon.
"Lyon might have won their last two games, but their opponents Toulouse and Metz are both in the Ligue 1 relegation zone."
Lyon 2.0421/20 v Benfica 4.03/1; The Draw 3.814/5
Tuesday 5 November, 20:00
Live on BT Sport Extra
Opportunity knocks for Lyon and Benfica
With the top two teams clashing in the other match in Group G, this game represents an opportunity for Lyon and Benfica to take advantage and climb into a higher position.
Benfica won the reverse fixture 2-1, but remain bottom of the group. There is though, only three points separating the Portuguese club and the leaders RB Leipzig, leaving much to play for in the remaining matches.
The victory over Lyon is one of five successive wins for Benfica, who have moved to the top of the Primeira Liga during that time. Early front-runners Famalicao have fallen away, leaving Benfica two points clear of Porto after their 2-0 victory over Rio Ave on Saturday.
Lyon have struggled domestically this season, but the appointment of Rudi Garcia as the replacement for Sylvinho, seems to have kickstarted their campaign. Following the loss to Benfica, the French side have won their last two Ligue 1 games and moved up to tenth in the table.
Benfica can build on first win
With Lyon still adjusting to life under Garcia, their price of 2.0421/20 looks too slim and based on not much more than their home advantage.
Lyon might have won their last two games, but their opponents Toulouse and Metz are both in the Ligue 1 relegation zone. Benfica are in fine form and will represent a much greater test.
In their previous home match in Group G, Lyon only drew with Zenit. The value surely lies with the visitors and Benfica's price is big enough that you can back them to merely avoid defeat in the Double Chance market and still get odds as big as 1.9620/21.
Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L
Staked: 176.00 pts
Returned: 179.92 pts
P/L: +3.92 pts
Back Benfica double chance against Lyon at 1.9620/21