Dan Fitch has his money on a narrow win for Juventus against Lokomotiv Moscow.
"Nine of their eleven wins this season have come by one goal."
Lokomotiv Moscow 6.25/1 v Juventus 1.664/6; The Draw 4.216/5
Wednesday 6 November, 20:00
Live on BT Sport ESPN
Juve are edging towards last-16
Juventus can book their place in the knockout stages of the Champions League with a win at Lokomotiv Moscow.
The Old Lady lead Group D with seven points and a victory would see them build an unassailable lead over the Russians and the bottom club Bayer Leverkusen. Not that Juventus found it easy to beat Lokomotiv when the sides faced each other last month. Juve went behind at home, before a late double from Paulo Dybala secured their victory.
Juventus have rarely won games with ease since Maurizio Sarri became manager, but they remain unbeaten this season (P14 W11 D3). They are currently top of Serie A, one point ahead of their rivals Inter.
Since Lokomotiv came close to beating Juventus, they have failed to win a game. Lokomotiv were beaten 3-0 at home in their derby with Spartak and could only draw 1-1 with Ufa at the weekend, leaving them third in the Premier League, three points behind Zenit.
Stats point towards narrow victory
The tendency of Juventus to win by slim margins could provide an opportunity to back the away victory at a big price.
Odds of 1.664/6 for a Juventus victory are not attractive when the difficulty that they had in beating Lokomotiv last time out, remains fresh in the memory. Juventus could only win that game by a single goal, which was also the case at the weekend when they beat Torino 1-0.
Nine of their eleven wins this season have come by one goal. That includes each of their last five wins and all four of their away victories this season. You can back Juventus to win by a one goal margin at 3.39/4 on the Sportsbook.
Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L
Staked: 176.00 pts
Returned: 179.92 pts
P/L: +3.92 pts