Lille v Ajax: Dutch masters will alter group landscape

Ajax manager Erik ten Hag.
Will Erik ten Hag mastermind a win for Ajax at Lille?

Dan Fitch has his money on another win for Ajax when they travel to the struggling French side Lille.

"Ajax have scored four goals in each of their last five games."

Back Ajax to beat Lille and over 2.5 goals at 2.56/4

Lille 4.1 v Ajax 1.9310/11; The Draw 4.1
Wednesday 27 November, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 3

Three teams fight for two spots in knockout rounds

Group H is delicately poised with three teams tied on seven points, with two games remaining.

Lille are not one of those teams, with their 1-1 home draw against Valencia being the only point that they have won in the group. The team are also in poor form domestically, with Lille currently tenth in Ligue 1. They have only won one of their last ten matches (D4 L5) and have just suffered the blow of having their assistant manager Joao Sacramento poached by Spurs to work under Jose Mourinho.

Ajax were firmly in control of the group until their two matches with Chelsea, from which they only earned one point. That came in a thrilling 4-4 draw at Stamford Bridge, but with Ajax 4-1 up at one point, the final result would have felt more like a defeat, in a match in which the Dutch giants had two players sent off.

Overall though, Ajax can be very happy with their form. Their 1-0 home defeat to Chelsea was their only loss in 23 matches this season (W17 D5).

Visitors are generously priced

Ajax won the reverse fixture against Lille 3-0. They have an away win by the same scoreline against Valencia and came very close to beating Chelsea on the road.

With all this in mind, the odds of 1.9310/11 for an Ajax win look generous and certainly worth backing as a standalone bet. If you want to boost the price, the obvious thing to do would be to add goals to the equation.

Ajax have scored four goals in each of their last five games. An Ajax win and over 2.5 goals bring their odds up to 2.56/4.

Dan Fitch 2019/20 Season P/L

Staked: 176.00 pts
Returned: 179.92 pts
P/L: +3.92 pts

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