A 5-2 aggregate lead doesn't necessarily protect Celtic from defeat away to Hapoel Beer Sheva...
"The Hoops have gone 1-0 down in each of their previous three Champions League trips abroad."
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.47/5 v Celtic 3.185/40; The Draw 3.711/4
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
The Champions League newcomers' inexperience showed as they allowed themselves to be overwhelmed in the first half of the Parkhead leg, and the damage was enormous, with a three-goal victory required to give them hope of group-stage participation.
The only positive of a miserable trip to Glasgow in which they found themselves 3-0 down at the interval was that they mustered a response in the second half, striking twice before the hour mark to suddenly open the tie up, though two late concessions undermined that to leave Celtic 5-2 up.
Such a showing undermined their hard work to get this far, not only in claiming a first Israeli title in 40 years, but clearing two qualifying rounds and knocking tournament regulars Olympiakos out in the process. They did at least follow it up with a 2-1 win in their league opener against Hapoel Ra'anana.
Even though this season's Premiership defence threatens to be trickier than the last few owing to the return of Rangers, Brendan Rodgers was always likely to be judged on his Champions League results, and guiding Celtic to the groups will establish him as far more Neil Lennon than Ronny Deila.
The Northern Irishman's European record was questionable at Liverpool, exiting the Europa League in the first knockout round in his maiden campaign and finishing third in his Champions League group in 2014/15 before another hasty Europa League retreat.
In truth, his early Bhoys' offerings weren't great, losing to Gibraltar's Lincoln Red Imps and needing a 90th-minute penalty to outlast FC Astana, but it looks like he got it right in the round that tripped them up in 2014/15 and 2015/16, with a group-stage reunion beckoning after three years away.
Despite being behind from minute nine to 90 in Scotland, Hapoel Beer Sheva are assessed as 2.47/5 favourites at home, and their 5-2 deficit doesn't detract from the fact that those odds appear justified.
They haven't been beaten in any of their four European games in front of their fans this decade, drawing the Europa League contests that they failed to get through in 2014/15 and 2015/16 and then dismissing Sheriff and Olympiakos in this process. In their league, they haven't been felled as hosts since last August.
Celtic required a 78th-minute Leigh Griffiths leveller to avoid defeat at FC Astana in the last round, yet ended the two continental away days before that at Malmo FF and Lincoln Red Imps empty-handed.
Rodgers' men well and truly set the agenda in the home leg, leading by the ninth minute and adding two more without interruption before the break. However, they don't find it anywhere near as easy to impose themselves when travelling abroad.
The Hoops have gone 1-0 down in each of their previous three such fixtures and four of the latest five, with the exception a goalless draw, so odds of 1.9720/21 on Hapoel Beer Sheva scoring first as they did against Olympiakos and in their weekend league encounter is an enticing proposition.
Back Hapoel Beer Sheva to score first @ 1.9720/21