Racing Post Free Bet Drop
Racing Post Free Bet Drop

Juventus v Real Madrid: Good boy Ramos, bad boy Khedira

Sergio Ramos is a man for the big occasions.
Sergio Ramos is a man for the big occasions.

It's the Champions League final on Saturday and Jamie Pacheco has had a look at the best bets available on side markets, such as who will be shown a card and who can get on the scoresheet...

"Odds of 11/2 to score anytime look decent on a man (Ramos) who’s been there and done it before in Champions League finals and other massive games."

Juventus v Real Madrid
Saturday, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 2 / BT Sport Showcase


It's the big one on Saturday and there will be no shortage of previews here on betting.betfair covering all the main markets, from match odds to over/under 2.5 goals and who will go on to lift the trophy.

But if you prefer to place your bets on 'off the beaten track' betting markets, read on.


Bookings Points Match Bet (Betfair Sportsbook)

It's one of the clichés of football that Italian teams at club and international level are dirty, cynical sides who are more than happy to turn to the dark arts in order to get the results they need at any cost. Except that in the case of Juventus, this season at least, it happens to be true.

With 26 yellow cards picked up across their 12 matches, only Monaco (28) and somewhat surprisingly Barcelona (27), who actually played two less games, got more.

Among the chief culprits were Mario Lemina (who also managed to pick up a red), Mario Mandzukic, Sami Khedira and Leonardo Bonucci, each with three cautions.

Khedira, a certain starter and the one most responsible for trying to win the all-important midfield battle, picked up a further seven bookings this season whilst on international duty and in domestic matches for Juventus. You should be able to get odds of around 4.03/1 on him getting another booking here when the market matures. It's worth remembering that in the 2014 final, then playing for Real Madrid, he was also booked.

Real got just 15 bookings in their 12 matches. Remarkably that puts them in just joint 14 th as the side with the most yellows despite having played more matches than everyone bar Juventus, Monaco and Atletico Madrid. It should come as no surprise to you to learn that their player who was booked the most was Sergio Ramos (3) with Casemiro, Luka Modric and Toni Kroos each getting two. Ramos has 'previous' as far as getting booked in Champions League finals, having gone into the ref's notebook in both the 2016 and 2014 editions against Atletico Madrid. You could do worse than back him at around 2.56/4 to make it three in a row.

But the even safer bet is to go with Juventus at 21/20 on the Betfair Sportsbook to get the most bookings points.


Juventus Total Corners 4.5

Real Madrid got more corners than anyone else in the competition with 78 at an average of 6.5 a game and that's a fair few more than Juve's 58 at an average of 4.83. Real are 4/6 to win the corners match bet and that's a fair enough price.

But the better bet might be that Juve can get to 5 corners. For starters their average in the competition is higher than the 4.5 corners as we've seen already and secondly, it's worth noting that Real have conceded an average of 4.83 so far in the competition.

Looking at Juve's domestic record, this bet would have paid out in 24 of their 38 league games. Even allowing for the fact that no side in Serie A is of the standard of Real, it still suggests that they'll get over the 4.5 line even if it's a close call, making that quote of 19/20 somewhat appealing.


To score

Love him or hate him, Sergio Ramos loves a Champions League final. His last-gasp equalizer in the 2014 edition was the goal that took Real to extra time against Atletico, where they went on to win comfortably 4-1. And he was at it again last year, scoring in the 15th minute before Yannick Carrasco hit back for Diego Simeone's men.

He scored 10 goals this season in 47 appearances and the interesting thing is that his goals seem to come in vital games at vital times. A flat-track bully he is not. Amongst his strikes were a late winner against Betis, a goal away at Napoli, both goals in a 2-1 win over Malaga, a late, late winner in a 3-2 win over Deportivo and an even later equalizer against Barcelona.

Odds of 11/2 to score anytime look decent on a man who's been there and done it before in Champions League finals and other massive games.

You'd think that Juventus will score at least once given Real conceded in their last two finals and how strong the Italian champions have been in attack this season. Gonzalo Higuain was unsurprisingly their main man in Serie A after his big-money transfer but Paulo Dybala almost matched him as far as the Champions League went, with four goals to Higuain's five. On penalty and free-kick duty and at a bigger price (9/4) than that on the Argentine (13/8), he's worth considering too.


Recommended Bets

Back Juventus on the Bookings Points match bet @ 21/20 on Betfair Sportsbook
Back Sami Khedira to be shown a card @ around 4.03/1 on the to be shown a card market
Back Sergio Ramos to score anytime @ 11/2 on Betfair Sportsbook


Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses
Bet now

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles