Juventus v Monaco: Visitors set to frustrate Italian champions

Juventus celebrated against Dortmund in the last round but Monaco will be a tough team to crack
Juventus celebrated against Dortmund in the last round but Monaco will be a tough team to crack
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Leonardo Jardim's underdogs will be tricky opponents in Turin on Tuesday night, writes James Eastham...

"Monaco have lost only two of their last 20 away games by more than a single goal, which underlines their capacity to avoid a hammering on the road."

Best Bet: Monaco +1.0&+1.5 Asian handicap @ 1.84/5

Juventus v Monaco
Tuesday, 19:45 BST
Live on Sky Sports 1

Introduction

Juventus lost 1-0 at Parma at the weekend but fielded an under-strength side. Leading scorer Carlos Tevez and goalkeeper Gianluigi Buffon should be fit to start but Andrea Pirlo, out for the past six weeks, is likely to be on the bench.

The only major doubt for Monaco is midfielder Jeremy Toulalan. He picked up a knock in their 3-0 win at Caen on Friday night and is doubtful. Anthony Martial is being tipped to start in attack ahead of Dimitar Berbatov.


Match Odds
Juventus 1.511/2, Monaco 9.417/2, The Draw 4.3100/30

It's understandable Juventus are favourites but do they deserve to be as short as 1.511/2 to beat Monaco?

Juve are Serie A's finest side and have a W3-D1-L0 home record in the Champions League this season but Monaco are an excellent away team. They showed that by winning 3-1 at the Emirates Stadium in the last round and if you dig deeper than that victory over Arsenal you'll find their stats are impressive.

Monaco have won eight of the last 10 away games in all competitions and lost just two of 20 away fixtures (W12-D4-L4) in all competitions since the start of October. An essentially counter-attacking side, they defend well and break quickly.

Juventus may win but at the prices available a lay of the hosts would be the smart choice.


Under/Over 2.5 Goals
Unders 1.635/8, Overs 2.568/5

At first glance this looks likely to be a low-scoring encounter. Monaco are solid defensively and you would imagine they'll do their utmost to make the game tight and dour.

The stats bear that out even more strongly. Thirty-seven of Monaco's 47 games this season (79%) have featured under 2.5 goals (with the same applying to 20 of Juventus' 44 fixtures). This game could open up but given strong those seasonal trends are there's no reason to oppose the Under 2.5 Goals selection.


Asian handicap

Given that Monaco stand a decent chance of avoiding a heavy defeat, backing the French side on the Asian handicap could be a smart choice.

Monaco have lost only two of their last 20 away games by more than a single goal, which underlines their capacity to avoid a hammering on the road. By backing Monaco +1.0 Asian handicap at 2.09 you'll get your money back if the game ends all-square and make a profit if Monaco win or draw. If you back Monaco +1.0&+1.5 Asian handicap at slightly shorter odds you'll even make money if Monaco lose by a single goal. For more on how Asian handicap betting works, click here.

To Score

If you're looking for a longer-priced potential scorer consider one of Monaco's defenders. Layvin Kurzawa's form has dipped but he likes attacking from left-back (he's likely to be available around 18.017/1 when the market has liquidity), Aymen Abdennour is a muscular presence in the penalty area (20.019/1) and Andrea Raggi - a potential starter - also gets up well at set-pieces (25.024/1).


Recommended Bet
Monaco +1.0&+1.5 Asian handicap @ 1.84/5

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