Dortmund in crisis
Ordinarily, a trip to Dortmund after defeat in the North London derby would fill Tottenham fans with a sense of foreboding. They lost 3-0 on their last visit to Signal Iduna Park in 2016 and while Mauricio Pochettino rotated that night, fielding Tom Carroll, Josh Onomah and Ryan Mason from the start, it was a wake up call for this team and its ambitions in Europe.
A lot has changed at Dortmund since then. The tables have now turned. Tottenham have gone to another level in the Champions League this season. Meanwhile their hosts are in crisis. As if drawing with APOEL home and away wasn't bad enough, Dortmund are without a win in five games in the Bundesliga and have dropped from pole position to fifth. It's their worst run since 1991.
Promoted sides like Hannover and Stuttgart have beaten them. Without the ball they always look vulnerable and keep conceding the same goal on the counter. You can argue Dortmund haven't looked the same since they lost to Spurs at Wembley. Manager Peter Bosz is under increasing scrutiny and can't cite the last minute sale of Ousmane Dembele as an excuse. The Dutchman makes hardly any in-game adjustments to his team and the players seem short of fitness.
Spurs look a decent bet to win in Germany @ 3.259/4.
A vulnerable Old Lady
The Allianz Stadium is one of Europe's fortresses. Juventus have only lost once at home in the Champions League since its inauguration and that was to Jupp Heynckes' Bayern who won the treble soon afterwards in 2013. On Wednesday, they play Barcelona in Turin and while such a prestigious opponent always commands respect, you'd normally be confident in the Bianconeri's ability to get something. After all, they beat Barca 3-0 here in April.
But here's the thing. Juventus look more vulnerable than they have at any stage over the last six years. Goals conceded are up 55% on last season and they were 3-0 down going into stoppage time against Sampdoria at the weekend. OK, the likes of Gigi Buffon, Andrea Barzagli, Alex Sandro, Blaise Matuidi, Douglas Costa and Paulo Dybala didn't start at Marassi, but there is a growing sense that Massimiliano Allegri should consider a system change and offer the defence more protection with an extra man in midfield.
Barcelona no longer have Neymar. But they still have Lionel Messi. They're top of La Liga and while they have been unspectacular this season, the results better than the performances, Ernesto Valverde's side can reasonably expect to win at the Allianz Stadium.
The exchange has them @ 2.588/5 to do just that.
Barring a miracle, Atletico will not reach the knock-out stages of the Champions League. They need to beat Roma at the Wanda on Wednesday where its new tenants have now failed to win in five games. The problem is Diego Simeone's side has trouble beating anyone these days.
True, Atleti are unbeaten in La Liga but they have drawn seven of their last nine games and find themselves 10 points adrift of Barcelona after Saturday's drab 0-0 in the Madrid derby. If Qarabag caused Atleti problems here, taking the lead and holding on for a point, Roma must be confident.
Top of the group, the Giallorossi are riding high after their 3-0 win against Chelsea before the international break. Saturday's 2-1 win in the Derby della Capitale was their sixth straight and things really seem to be coming together under Eusebio di Francesco.
Roma's pressing game is one of the most aggressive you'll see in Europe. Their defence is the best in Italy to a great extent because they keep their opponents so far from goal. With confidence low at Atleti and Antoine Griezmann now six games without a goal, you fancy Roma to make another statement in the Champions League this midweek.
They're trading @ 21/1 on Double Chance.