Dan Fitch does not foresee many goals when Borussia Monchengladbach host Celtic.
"The hosts’ last five matches have all seen less than three goals, during which they have also kept four clean sheets."
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.538/15 v Celtic 7.413/2; The Draw 4.67/2
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With Barcelona and Manchester City leading the way in Group C, this match looks likely to determine which of these two sides will grab a Europa League spot.
It is the hosts that hold the advantage, having beaten Celtic 2-0 in the reverse fixture. That gave Andre Schubert's team their first win of the group stage, after a disappointing start to the season. They qualified for the Champions League by finishing fourth in the Bundesliga, but are currently 11th after a summer in which they lost midfielders Granit Xhaka and Havard Nordtveidt to the Premier League.
Celtic's season is proving to be much more predictable. Domestically they are cantering towards another title and already lead Rangers by nine points, yet Europe competition continues to be a frustrating experience.
The Scottish giants have already been through a gamut of emotions, having been thrashed by Barca, almost pulling off a win against Manchester City at Celtic Park and then coming crashing back down to earth with a home defeat to Mönchengladbach.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
One suspects that Celtic may have suffered one disappointment too many in this competition and are unlikely to pick up another point, but the odds of a home win remain too measly to recommend.
The over/under 2.5 goals market looks a better source of value. The hosts' last five matches have all seen less than three goals, during which they have also kept four clean sheets.
With Celtic having failed to score in two of their three group games, the price of 2.3811/8 looks much too high and the sensible bet.
Back under 2.5 goals between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Celtic at 2.3811/8
Dan Fitch 2016/17 Season PL
Staked: 104 pts
Returned: 99.96 pts
P/L: -3.37 pts