Dan Fitch expects goals when Group B rivals Besiktas and Napoli clash.
"Besiktas have yet to draw a blank this season, while Napoli have conceded in each of their last seven matches."
Besiktas 4.03/1 v Napoli 2.0811/10; The Draw 3.613/5
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Besiktas might be second in Group B behind Napoli, but they will come into this match in a confident mood, having beaten the Serie A giants 3-2 during the last round of games.
Napoli had won their opening two Champions League games against Dynamo Kiev and third-placed Bentfica, as they made a flying start to the season which saw them unbeaten in their opening eight matches. October has seen a reverse in their fortunes, with Napoli losing four of their six outings and suffering a serious injury to their star summer signing Arkadiusz Milik.
In contrast, Besiktas could not be more consistent. Aside from an opening day Super Cup loss to Galatasaray on penalties, Senol Gunes' team have yet to taste defeat this season. Besiktas drew their first two Champions League games before beating Napoli and this fixture could well determine who goes on to top the group.
It is only the reputation of Italian clubs in Europe that sees Napoli start as such heavy favourites. Besiktas are good value to once again inflict a defeat, while the Draw No Bet odds of 2.9215/8 looks like a low-risk/high-reward opportunity for those wanting to bet on the result. We, however, will be playing in the safer waters of the goals market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
After a five goal thriller the last time these teams met, it's surprising to see overs as big as 1.9210/11, with under 2.5 goals at 2.021/1.
Besiktas have yet to draw a blank this season, while Napoli have conceded in each of their last seven matches. All of Napoli's Champions League games have seen three goals or more scored and with Maurizio Sarri's side looking to avenge a defeat while on the road, over 2.5 seems highly-probable.
Back over 2.5 goals between Besiktas and Napoli at 1.9210/11
Dan Fitch 2016/17 Season PL
Staked: 104 pts
Returned: 99.96 pts
P/L: -3.37 pts