Bayern Munich v Sevilla: German giants to cruise into last four

Bayern Munich forward Thomas Mueller
Bayern star Thomas Mueller is the man for the big occasion
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After successfully predicting the outcome of the first leg, our Bundesliga expert Kevin Hatchard takes a look at Bayern Munich's second Champions League encounter with Sevilla...

"Bayern have scored 54 goals since the turn of the year, and they won 4-1 at Augsburg on Saturday with a host of stars left out of the line-up."

Back Bayern/Over 3.5 Goals double at 5/4

Bayern Munich v Sevilla
Wednesday 11 April, 19:45
Live on BT Sport

Bayern looking beyond domestic dominance

Bayern's dedication to relentless excellence continued on Saturday, as they roared back from an early deficit to win 4-1 at Augsburg. That result clinched their sixth consecutive Bundesliga title, an unprecedented achievement. There were some fitting goalscorers. Arjen Robben, who has been thrilling Bayern fans since 2009. James Rodriguez, who has gleefully embraced his move to Germany. Sandro Wagner, who took a chance by returning to a club where he'd won his first Bundesliga title as a youngster a decade earlier.

With another meisterschale successfully secured, there were of course celebrations, but on the orders of veteran coach Jupp Heynckes, they were distinctly low-key. No beer showers, no big party. A glass of champagne in the dressing room, and a small gathering in the evening upon the return to Munich. Heynckes, who has now won eight Bundesliga titles as a player and coach, knows there are still peaks to scale. A DFB Cup semi-final away to a dangerous Bayer Leverkusen team is on the horizon, and European glory is the top target. It always has been.

Heynckes has won a record 12 Champions League games in a row, while Bayern have won 14 of their 16 matches since the turn of the year. In those 16 games, they have scored a mind-boggling 54 goals.
Bayern showed the strength of their squad on Saturday. Robert Lewandowski, Thiago and Mats Hummels stayed on the bench, while Thomas Mueller and Frank Ribery were only utilised as late substitutes.

Fragile Sevilla facing the end of the adventure

Sevilla have enjoyed another excellent European campaign. They have now reached the knockout phase of the Champions League in back-to-back seasons, and their fans will never forget dumping out Manchester United at Old Trafford.

However, it's hard to escape the conclusion that the Andalusians blew their big chance at the Sanchez Pizjuan. Having started superbly against Bayern and taken a deserved lead, their porous defence cracked twice either side of half time. Having lost control of the contest, they were unable to regain it.

Although coach Vincenzo Montella shuffled his pack ahead of the weekend's trip to face Celta Vigo, their 4-0 hammering was still alarming. Sevilla have leaked ten goals in four games since that famous win in Manchester, and they have leaked four goals or more on four occasions in 2018.

Midfield orchestrator Ever Banega returns from suspension, but he won't be given the same freedom that he enjoyed against United. Danish defender Simon Kjaer is a doubt after limping out of the defeat in Vigo.

Bayern to turn on the style and make the last four

Bayern are a prohibitively short [1.23] to win the second leg, so we need to find ways to boost the price, because I think they'll win handsomely against a team that's won just one of its last six games.

I'll go for a Bayern/Over 3.5 Goals double at 5/4 on the Sportsbook. That Sevilla defence has consistently sprung leaks, and it'll be under intense pressure from the get-go in Munich. Bayern are scoring freely, and should continue to do so.

Hosts to make a fast start

There were two goals in the first half of the first leg, and there have been at least two goals scored before half time in six of Bayern's last seven matches in all competitions.

You can back Over 1.5 First Half Goals at evens on the Sportsbook.

Mueller worth backing on the big occasion

Bayern's star striker Robert Lewandowski is a hilariously short 1/4 to score in 90 minutes, so instead I'll pick out Thomas Mueller. He should start after he was benched at the weekend, and he has scored ten goals in his last 19 games for club and country. I expect Bayern to make plenty of chances, and Mueller to be at the heart of much of that good work.


Kevin Hatchard 2018 Champions League P/L

Points Staked: 7

Points Returned: 10.42

P/L: +3.42 points

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