Champions League Tips: Ajax to wobble as Monchengladbach thrill

Ecuador international Christian Noboa was on the scoresheet as Rostov surprised Anderlecht away
Ecuador international Christian Noboa was on the scoresheet as Rostov surprised Anderlecht away

Ajax and Borussia Monchengladbach won't find things as easy as their odds imply in their latest Champions League qualifiers...


"Ajax have won just one of their past six Champions League qualifiers as hosts, losing half of those assignments to FC Kobenhavn, Slavia Prague and Rapid Vienna."

Recommended Bet: Lay Ajax to beat Rostov @ 1.865/6

All these matches kick-off at 19:45 on Tuesday

Ajax 1.855/6 v Rostov 5.39/2; The Draw 3.613/5
Live on BT Sport Extra 2

This is Rostov's first ever Champions League campaign after their unlikely ascent from 14th in the Russian Premier League in 2014/15 to second in 2015/16. Any suspicion that this inexperience made them a good team to draw was washed away in the last round though when they eliminated Anderlecht courtesy of a 2-0 win in Belgium after being held 2-2 in Russia.

Last season's success was built on a sturdy defence, giving up only 20 goals in 30 league games, and there is no sign of that changing. In addition to that clean sheet at the Constant Vanden Stock Stadium, they shut out their first two top-flight foes. Don't overanalyse Friday's 3-2 loss away to Zenit St Petersburg either: they led 2-0 within 14 minutes but paid for a red card close to half time.

Ajax have drawn their opening two home encounters of 2016/17, 1-1 against PAOK in the last round and 2-2 against Roda in the Eredivisie, having shared spoils in two of their final four Amsterdam ArenA contests last term. They have won just one of their past six Champions League qualifiers as hosts, losing half of those assignments to FC Kobenhavn, Slavia Prague and Rapid Vienna.

Recommended Bet: Lay Ajax to win @ 1.865/6


Dinamo Zagreb 2.56/4 v Red Bull Salzburg 3.211/5; The Draw 3.412/5
Live on BT Sport Extra 4

This match looks like under-2.5-goals gold. Red Bull Salzburg have come through two rounds without giving up a single goal, beating Liepaja 1-0 and 2-0 and Partizani Tirana by the exact same margins. They have also kept consecutive league clean sheets, with their latest three domestic games all yielding two or fewer.

Dinamo Zagreb won twice without conceding in the third qualifying round too, seeing off Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 and 1-0, while the sole leak in their last three league outings occurred in the 90th minute.

Recommended Bet: Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.768/11


Young Boys 3.412/5 v Borussia Monchengladbach 2.265/4; The Draw 3.711/4
Live on BT Sport 3

The Swiss Super League might not rank as highly as the Bundesliga, but Young Boys are entitled to feel a little hard done by at being rated outsiders when welcoming Borussia Monchengladbach after what they achieved in the previous round, rallying from 2-0 down to knock regulars Shakhtar out.

Their visitors might have participated in the group stage in 2015/16, yet when they were last forced to earn their spot in the qualifiers, it went terribly wrong against opponents from a less celebrated division as Dynamo Kiev outshone them 4-3 on aggregate.

With the outcome quite difficult to judge, this writer favours a bet on over 3.5 goals. Monchengladbach's final two fixtures in last season's competition both delivered six - at home to Sevilla and away to Manchester City - while four of Young Boys' most recent six qualifiers served up at least four. These clubs met in a friendly a mere month ago which finished 3-3.

Recommended Bet: Back over 3.5 goals @ 2.829/5


Click here to check out more of Betting.Betfair's Champions League coverage


Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open account using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn We'll Refund You £/€20 If the Bet Loses

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles