The Betfair Football £10 Bet of the Day
Day 137: We're backing over 2.5 goals in Exeter versus Tranmere at [1.94]
Exeter have suddenly stopped winning at St James' Park but their ability to entertain remains undiminished, causing us to conclude that [1.94] is unbelievable value for their Tuesday evening clash with Tranmere to have over 2.5 goals.
Peterborough season ticket holders are the only fans in League One to have witnessed more goals than Exeter's and that's only because their games at London Road average on absurd 4.82 goals, but Grecians fans won't feel too short-changed as 12 of their 15 in Devon have featured three or more.
They've lost four in a row in front of their own supporters but have scored consistently throughout that lean streak and haven't failed to find the net all season as hosts, while the blank Tranmere fired against Yeovil at the weekend was their first in six outings, with their goal average on the road equal to that of play-off chasing Rochdale.
Further support for a flutter on over 2.5 goals can be gleaned from a look at recent meetings between the two teams, as both of last season's encounters featured over three or more, with Exeter triumphing 2-1 at St James' Park and falling to a 3-1 defeat at Prenton Park.
It's also intriguing that Exeter's two highest-scoring home games of the campaign both came against clubs in close proximity in the table - losing 4-2 to Brentford, who are just above them and thumping Sheffield Wednesday, who are just below, 5-1. Tranmere are just three places below Paul Tisdale's side.
Our bet: We're backing Exeter and Tranmere to share over 2.5 goals at [1.94], meaning that - before factoring in commission - we stand to win £9.40. The same punt pays only £8 with Coral. Sign up for a new account now and have losing bets up to a total of £30 refunded for a week.
Published: 1 Mar 2011
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