Have a loss-proof £25 bet on Peterborough
It has been a gripping week already in the play-offs crammed full of goals - great ones at that - and last-gasp twists and tonight's encounter is quite possibly the hardest to call yet, as Peterborough host MK Dons in the second leg of their League One semi-final fighting to recover a 3-2 deficit.
No outcome would be a huge surprise but two significant trends make the home win the best bet at [1.9], the first being that Posh are unbeaten in 16 games at London Road and the second being that MK Dons lost away to every other top-six side over the course of the regular season.
Thanks to our special offer for those opening new Betfair accounts, you can bet up to £25 on this match and have your stake refunded if your punt proves unsuccessful.
Darren Ferguson's team haven't been great against their promotion rivals themselves, claiming just two victories in ten, however champions Brighton were the only top-half club to topple them in front of their fans and they saw off both MK Dons and potential final opponents Huddersfield 2-1 and 4-2.
They have also been far more convincing at home both as the campaign has progressed and since the return of their former manager after a stint at Preston in January, triumphing in ten of their 14 fixtures as hosts from December onwards.
An intriguing statistic though is that all three of MK Dons' travelling defeats in 2011 have come by a goal, so even if they lose, extra time is likely for the second night in succession. Odds of [14.0] are offered on the visitors going through after 120 minutes, while it's [13.0] that they deliver on penalties.
Peterborough v MK Dons
Kick-off: 7.45pm
Live on Sky Sports 1
Who will head to Old Trafford? MK Dons are [1.77] favourites, with Posh [2.28]...
Published: 19 May 2011
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