Bet up to £25 risk-free on an England blip
For many, the news that Gareth Bale isn't fit enough to feature for Wales against England signalled the end of any chance they had of causing an upset, and it's understandable to see why punters are adopting that stance - after all, they haven't won a competitive game as hosts since October 2008.
But [1.42] is still a short price for England to win away from Wembley, especially having drawn their last Euro 2012 qualifier at home to Macedonia, so there is surely a case for laying the Three Lions at [1.44], or if you feel really bold, backing Wales at [10.0]. We're going to attempt to fight their corner.
Thanks to our special offer for those opening new Betfair accounts, you can bet up to £25 on this match and have your stake refunded if your punt proves unsuccessful.
The first point to raise is that England's record in clashes with their neighbours is far from flawless. The last one against Northern Ireland at Windsor Park in 2005 ended in a 1-0 defeat, while they were beaten in their last collision with Scotland in London, and are winless in four against the Republic of Ireland.
It's also worth noting that England only won 1-0 at the Millennium Stadium on their last visit in 2005, and that success owed plenty to a stunning Paul Robinson save from John Hartson. It remains one of just four victories for the Three Lions in their last eight meetings with Wales.
Any argument for outsiders priced at [10.0] requires a bit of straw clutching and that's why the fact this is both Gary Speed's first home tie and qualifier in charge, and Aaron Ramsey's first as captain, is worth mentioning. That feel-good factor has led to a sell-out crowd that will set out to intimidate an England side that are on edge at the best of times.
Another wager worth looking at for those that judge Fabio Capello's team too short to back yet don't want to oppose them is under 2.5 goals at [1.92], having been a feature of five of their last six encounters.
Wales v England
Kick-off: 3pm (Saturday)
Live on Sky Sports 2
What are you backing in Saturday's big match? Tell us in the box below...
Published: 25 Mar 2011
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