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Day 18: We're backing the half-time draw/full-time home win in Santos' clash with Botafogo at [5.4]

After being stuck in a relegation battle that went the distance last season, Botafogo have made huge strides forward in their opening 19 games of the current campaign, so much so that three points tonight will push them up to third in the Brazilian Serie A table.

However, we expect Santos, who have won eight of their last ten home matches, to halt their momentum at the Estadio Urbano Caldeira. The title chasers had earned five consecutive victories before claiming a respectable point at the home of champions Flamengo on Sunday.

They should recover momentum against a side who, despite several recent away successes, have lost their most high-profile ones against the likes of Flamengo, Cruzeiro and Internacional. In addition, Botafogo haven't beaten Santos on their travels this century.

That all suggests that Santos are a sound bet at [1.94] but we're planning a more ambitious punt to make amends for a disappointing few days.

The hosts would be 18th and in the relegation zone rather than fourth if league games ended at half-time, while Botafogo have been tied at the interval in 11 of their 19, indicating that the half-time draw/full-time home triumph is a great wager at [5.4].

Our bet: We're backing the half-time draw/full-time Santos win at [5.4], meaning that - without considering commission - we stand to win £44. The same bet pays out just £35 with Bet365 and Ladbrokes. Sign up for a new account now and have losing bets up to £30 refunded for a week.

Published: 9 Sep 2010

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